Biden Leads Trump Nationally, in Key States in Final Days
The New York Times/Siena College polls showed Biden ahead in four key swing states that Trump carried in 2016.
(Bloomberg) -- Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in a series of polls released Sunday, remaining ahead nationally and in battleground states, although some state races remain extremely close.
The New York Times/Siena College polls showed Biden ahead in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and Wisconsin, all key swing states that Trump carried in 2016.
A CNN poll showed Biden up in Arizona, Michigan and North Carolina, also states Trump won in 2016. In all four states, Biden was seen as the more empathetic candidate and the one more able to unify the country.
An ABC/Washington Post poll had less good news for Biden, showing Trump narrowly ahead in Florida, 50%-48%. The same poll had Biden well ahead, 51%-44% in Pennsylvania.
Emerson College released battleground state polls that showed Biden up in Michigan, but the race in Ohio and Iowa within the margin of error and essentially tied.
While these polls show Biden running better than Hillary Clinton did four years ago, analysts say Trump still has a narrow but viable path to an election win through the states considered “toss ups” by nonpartisan election handicappers.
National polls cannot indicate a winner, since presidents are chosen by state, but they can suggest trends. An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showed Biden up a full 10 percentage points, 52% to 42% for Trump. His lead was built by support from Black voters, 87%-5%; young voters, 60%-32% for Trump; seniors, 58%-35%; women 57% to 37%; White voters with college degrees, 56% to 41%; and independents, 51% to 36%.
A CBS News poll showed that Biden has support from 66% of those who’ve already voted to 32% who backed Trump. The breakdown of early voting in person versus through the mail was not indicated.
Here’s a roundup of Sunday’s polling:
New York Times/Siena College:
- Arizona: Biden 49%-Trump 43%
- Florida: Biden 47%-Trump 44%
- Pennsylvania: Biden 49%-Trump 43%
- Wisconsin: Biden 52%-Trump 41%
ABC/Washington Post:
- Florida: Trump 50%-Biden 48%
- Pennsylvania: Biden 51%-Trump 44%
Emerson College:
- Michigan: Biden 52%-Trump 45%
- Ohio: Biden 49%-Trump 48%
- Iowa: Biden 47%-Trump 46%
- Florida: Biden 51%-Trump 45%
- Georgia: Trump 49%-Biden 48%
- North Carolina: Biden, Trump tied at 47%
- Texas: Biden, Trump tied at 49%
- Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 46%
CNN:
- Arizona: Biden 50%-Trump 46%
- Michigan: Biden 53%-Trump 41%
- North Carolina: Biden 51%-Trump 45%
- Wisconsin: Biden 52%-Trump 44%
©2020 Bloomberg L.P.