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Spotify Has Worst Day as Public Company After Growth Disappoints

Spotify posted a 45% jump in Q1 subscriptions. That wasn’t enough to please its increasingly bullish investors.

Spotify Has Worst Day as Public Company After Growth Disappoints
American and Swedish flags fly below Spotify Technology SA signage displayed outside New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during the company’s first day of trading in New York, U.S. (Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Spotify Technology SA suffered its worst stock decline since becoming a public company, slammed by investors who weren’t impressed with a 45 percent jump in subscriptions last quarter.

The shares tumbled as much as 11 percent on Thursday after the music-streaming service said it reached 75 million premium users last quarter. Though the number matched Spotify’s projections, it wasn’t the breakout growth shareholders expected after a strong debut on the New York Stock Exchange last month.

Spotify has pitched itself as the dominant player in music streaming, and Chief Executive Officer Daniel Ek has set out to claim the largest share of a market that should one day number billions of people.

“While the fundamentals look solid and Spotify came in line with its guidance, today’s after-hours stock reaction can be viewed as an expectations correction,” said Rohit Kulkarni, an analyst at SharesPost Inc.

The company’s stock fell as low as $151.11, marking its biggest intraday drop yet. Before the rout, it had climbed 29 percent over the past month.

“Sometimes the market just gets stupid and just trades on its own momentum,” Chief Financial Officer Barry McCarthy said in an interview.

Industry Turnaround

The broader music business is staging a comeback, and the big question surrounding Spotify is how much it can capitalize on the recovery.

So far, no music streaming service has proven it can generate huge profits on its own. Pandora Media Inc. is worth a fraction of what it was when it went public, while other major music streaming services are owned by technology companies that don’t rely on music for their profits.

Still, Spotify is losing money. The Stockholm-based company reported an operating loss of 41 million euros ($49 million) last quarter on sales of 1.14 billion euros.

The losses weren’t as steep as most analysts had feared. Spotify has improved its profit margins by squeezing music-rights holders, and it plans to use its growing heft to negotiate better terms in the next year. The labels will pay Spotify for helping them better target potential listeners, McCarthy said.

Spotify has also invested in non-music programming such as podcasts, opening a new front in its rivalry with Apple Inc. The recent growth of Apple’s music app has raised concerns that it will limit Spotify’s popularity.

Ek has downplayed the threat from Apple, as well as Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s YouTube. And so far, he has a comfortable lead: Spotify is more than twice as large as Apple Music, its closest competitor.

“We see no meaningful impact from competition,” Ek said on a call with analysts. “We don’t think this is a winner-take-all market.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Lucas Shaw in Los Angeles at lshaw31@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Nick Turner at nturner7@bloomberg.net, Timothy Annett

©2018 Bloomberg L.P.