From Starbucks to Tesla, Big Business Faces Xi's New Reality
(Bloomberg) -- Chinese President Xi Jinping emerged from this week’s Communist Party Congress radiating more power than a supernova. He also may have shifted the corporate terrain by presenting a new economic vision in which rising living standards take primacy over high-speed growth.
One big takeaway from Xi’s marathon three-and-a-half hour policy speech last week is that the next five years will be less about stoking economic growth and more about improving quality of life in a country with a vast wealth gap, housing bubble and world-class pollution challenges.
From Intel Corp. to Ford Motor Co., western firms have long recognized the commercial advantages of being a good corporate citizen in China and have opened research centers, shared know-how with local partners and invested in startups. Now, the expectation is that foreign companies will need to demonstrate a willingness to improve the lot of ordinary workers to stay in the good graces of Beijing.
“Multinationals and local companies will need to cope with this agenda of more balanced growth and the focus on the quality of life,” said Weiwen Han, Greater China managing partner for Bain & Co. in Shanghai. “When they look at China as an opportunity, they cannot seek growth as the primary target.”
While policies such as those governing technology transfers and electrification in the automotive industry tend to be more clear cut, Xi’s most recent remarks leave plenty of room for interpretation. Some companies have gotten ahead of the curve with initiatives targeting workers and their families. Starbucks Corp., which has 2,800 outlets in China, said in April it would provide its local workers with health insurance that extends coverage to their parents.
The new policy is a response to traditional values in China, the company said, as children often care for their parents and grandparents in a society that doesn’t have a comprehensive safety net for the elderly. The plan covers 30 critical illnesses and some surgeries, the company said.
Yum China Holdings Ltd. last November announced it would give shares valued at $2,000 to more than 6,000 managers of its KFC, Pizza Hut and other restaurant chains. The move is an unusual one in the fast food industry where compensation plans are modest.
The push to improve the living standards of employees comes as Western firms are still clamoring for greater market access. In a January survey of 462 U.S. companies by the American Chamber of Commerce in China, 81 percent said they felt less welcome in China, while more than 60 percent have little or no confidence the country will further open its markets in the next three years.
Chinese officials, meanwhile, counter such complaints by pointing to the years of tax breaks and other special treatment afforded to large foreign companies to encourage them to invest in China, according to Shaun Rein, managing director of Shanghai-based China Market Research Group.
“There’s a feeling among the government that foreign companies have made a lot of money on the back of poor Chinese,” said Rein. “Now the government feels foreign companies need to give back.”
The white hot property market “has probably been the greatest cause of inequality in China, not only among the different income cohorts but also across generations,” said Alan Jin, a Hong Kong-based property analyst at Mizuho Securities Asia Ltd. “Curbs on housing speculation are just part of the grander aim of promoting equality.”
Changing all that will require a big increase in affordable housing coupled with ongoing curbs on property speculation. “During the next five years, the focus will probably be supplying more affordable homes in top cities, and pushing forward urbanization in third- and fourth-tier cities,” said Zhang Hongwei, a research director at Shanghai-based Tospur Real Estate Consulting Co.
The pressure may increasingly come from within, as party representatives assigned to foreign companies become more assertive about promoting the government’s quality-of-life program, said Gordon Orr, a senior adviser to McKinsey & Co. and a member of the board of Lenovo Group Ltd., the Beijing-based maker of personal computers and other electronics products.
“I think there’s a chance that party committees in multinationals will become more visible going forward,” he said. “It would be on people-related topics: are people getting all of their benefits, are people’s personnel reviews being handled appropriately, are those being let go handled appropriately.”
To be sure, the greater attention from the government to quality-of-life issues will also create new opportunities for multinationals to meet the growing demand for more options from middle-class Chinese, several analysts said.
“If you focus on quality, you need to think about introducing more high-end services and goods to satisfy the middle class,” said Fielding Chen, a Bloomberg Intelligence economist in Hong Kong.
The public outcry over the environment looks like an opportunity for carmakers including Tesla Inc. and Ford, which partnered with Anhui Zotye Automobile Co. in August to develop a new line of battery-powered models.
“Quality of life is also freedom of mobility,” Bob Shanks, Ford’s chief financial officer, said in an interview Thursday. “We will have electric vehicles. We will have plug-in hybrids. We will have hybrids.”
Luxury Looking Up
Even some Western makers of watches and other luxury items, which had been hit by Xi’s campaign against corruption and gift giving during his first term, have reason to be hopeful. Swiss watch exports rose for a fifth consecutive month in September thanks to demand for expensive timepieces in China as well as Hong Kong and Singapore, where many Chinese tourists shop for high-end goods.
Xi deserves credit for addressing issues like inequality, said Jean-Claude Biver, head of LVMH’s watch division. “I can now only welcome his speech,” he said.
That said, life could turn difficult for Western firms that disregard the new quality-of-life drive coming out of Beijing, according to Geoffrey Crothall, communications director for China Labour Bulletin, a Hong Kong-based organization that promotes worker rights.
“If these major corporations want to stay and do business in China, they have to fall in line with what the Communist Party wants, and that’s to improve wages and working conditions for their employees in China,” he said.
©2017 Bloomberg L.P.