Nomura Expects Interest Rate Hike Due To ‘Uncomfortably High’ Core Inflation
Nomura expects a 50 basis point hike in key interest rates during the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy review meeting tomorrow.
“The core inflation momentum has been uncomfortably high due to which we think there is a case to front-load the rate hike,” said Sonal Varma, chief India economist at Nomura, in a conversation with BloombergQuint today. “The peak in core inflation is largely due to non-tradeable services like recreation.”
Going ahead, the managing director at the Japanese brokerage expects the central bank to be in "wait and watch mode”. There can also be a prolonged pause in rates if growth and inflation momentum slow down, she said.
Watch the full conversation here: