Adams Overtakes Yang in Google Searches: NYC Election Update
(Bloomberg) -- New York City’s mayoral primary is a day away. Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams held onto his lead in a new poll from Ipsos, with Andrew Yang in second, Kathryn Garcia in third and Maya Wiley in fourth.
Early voting ended Sunday afternoon with nearly 200,000 people casting their ballots. That’s more than one-fourth of the roughly 700,000 New Yorkers that went to the polls in 2013 when Mayor Bill de Blasio won the Democratic primary.
Garcia, the former city Sanitation Commissioner, and Yang, the one-time frontrunner who has slid in polling in recent weeks, will campaign together on Monday after making joint campaign stops over the weekend.
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Adams has overtaken Yang in online search interest on the eve of the 13-way Democratic primary for New York City mayor.
Yang is now effectively tied with Wiley for second place in search interest, followed by Garcia and Bronx nonprofit executive Dianne Morales, according to Google Trends.
Trending searches are a measure of voter curiosity, but not necessarily their voting intentions. Further complicating the analysis: A new ranked-choice system that allows voters to select as many as five candidates in order of preference, encouraging them to do more research on candidates other than their top choice.
Other election-related trending searches include questions about polling locations, how ranked-choice voting works, and whether independents can vote in New York primaries. (They can’t.) -- Gregory Korte
Adams Is Favored
Adams was the first choice of 28% of likely voters in a poll conducted June 10-17 by Ipsos. Yang had 20%, Garcia had 15% and Wiley had 13%. The poll showed gains for all four of the top candidates. The poll is based on a sample of 2,924 residents, and the credibility interval among likely voters is plus or minus 5.7 percentage points.
On Tuesday, voters will be asked to rank five candidates in order of preference. A candidate must have more than 50% of the vote to win the election. With Adams the first choice for only about a quarter of voters, there is a good chance the second, third and subsequent choices will swing the race, according to Ipsos.
Adams is ranked on the most voters’ ballots, giving him the best chance of winning, based on the poll results. But Yang and Garcia are also ranked on a majority of ballots, Ipsos said.
“Our simulation suggests the ranking exercise will go all the way to a head-to-head matchup between two candidates before someone gets over the needed 50%+1 threshold,” Ipsos said in a statement. -- Skylar Woodhouse
Yang and Garcia Alliance
Yang defended his decision to forge an alliance with rival Garcia, a move that jolted the mayoral contest in its waning days.
“I don’t see how that can be anything but a positive thing,” Yang said Monday in Chinatown.
The two candidates appeared together at events over the weekend and planned to do so on Monday. They said the move was aimed at encouraging people to vote and learn about ranked-choice voting. The alliance may stop the rise of Adams, who accused the pair of trying to disenfranchise Black voters.
Maya Wiley, who is Black and has become a late leading candidate, said she didn’t agree with Adams.
“This partnership is not racist and we should not be using this term so loosely against other candidates at the end of a long campaign when New Yorkers are all coming together to make important choices about our collective future,” Wiley said in a statement.
When asked about Garcia appearing with him but not endorsing his campaign, Yang said: “I think our campaigning together speaks volumes about the kind of leadership that this city has been lacking] for far too long.” -- Skylar Woodhouse
De Blasio Finalizing Ballot
De Blasio encouraged New Yorkers to vote and take full advantage of the city’s new ranked-choice election system. He said he’s still finalizing his ballot while declining to share details of his preference for a successor.
“This is an absolutely vital election, it will help determine the future of New York City as few elections ever have because we’re coming out of the biggest crisis in our history,”de Blasio said during a press conference at City Hall on Monday.
De Blasio called the joint campaign effort by Yang and Garcia an “opportunistic move” given differences in their platforms. While it’s typical for ranked-choice candidates to team up, “this one strikes me as sort of an odd couple situation,” he said. -- Nic Querolo
Early Voting Closes
Nearly 200,000 people cast their ballots over nine days of early voting that ended Sunday afternoon, according to the city’s board of elections.
While the turnout pales in comparison to the 1.1 million New Yorkers who voted early in the November presidential elections, it represents 28% of the roughly 700,000 New Yorkers who voted in the 2013 primaries. In 2013 there was no early voting, which took effect in 2019.
Two-thirds of the ballots came from Manhattan and Brooklyn, the elections board said. -- Shelly Banjo
Adams Campaign Volunteer
Eric Adams said one of his campaign volunteers was stabbed in the Bronx on Sunday, without providing further information. “We pray for him. This violence must stop,” Adams said in a Twitter post on Sunday.
Rivals Yang, Scott Stringer, Maya Wiley, Garcia and Dianne Morales all issued statements of support. “New Yorkers shouldn’t have to fear walking down the street,” Wiley said in a Twitter post. -- Shelly Banjo
George Soros gave another half a million dollars in the final days of the race to a political action committee that’s supporting civil rights lawyer Maya Wiley, according to campaign disclosures. He had already given her $500,000 in late May.
The billionaire joins Daniel Loeb, Paul Tudor Jones, Steve Cohen and other hedge fund managers and real estate executives whose donations have flooded into the mayoral contest.
Campaigns have raised more than $35 million for the mayoral race in private funds, just under the roughly $39 million in public funds, according to the city’s campaign finance board. More than $31 million has been spent on advertising and other campaign activities by the independent PACs. -- Shelly Banjo
Yang Confronted With Housing
During a campaign stop at a flea market in lower Manhattan, mayoral hopeful Andrew Yang heard from a group of apartment-complex tenants who oppose a planned tower across the street they said would add congestion and block sunlight and views.
Stacey Shub told Yang that she and other residents of the neighborhood were united against construction of a tower at 250 Water Street and asked him what he would do. The developer, Howard Hughes Corp., agreed to reduce the height to 375 feet (114 meters) from 470, but neighbors say that’s still too high.
Yang, an advocate of more housing in New York, said he would look into it if he wins the election, while remaining non-committal about the issue.
“I’m someone who wants to see New York City build new housing,” Yang said moments later in an interview. “But at the same time, if community members have concerns about the nature of a particular project, you have to hear people out and be mindful of these concerns.” -- Henry Goldman
Adams on Stop-and-Frisk
Adams, a 22-year-veteran of the New York Police Department, took his campaign to Harlem Friday to rally with gun-safety advocates and advance his proposal to combat the surge in shootings in New York City.
With four days until the election, Adams sought to clarify his stance on stop-and-frisk. In the past, Adams had expressed support for the controversial policing strategy if used properly, but said he wouldn’t bring it back because it would be abused.
Rivals have pounced on his comments.
“I said this over and over again, I am not looking to bring back stop-and-frisk,” Adams said Friday. “I am not going to have a police department that will take tools and abuse them.”
Adams has called for a greater police presence on city streets and subways, an anti-crime unit to target gun violence, and the recruitment of minority officers. -- Skyler Woodhouse
Last Emerson Poll
Adams was the first choice of 23% of likely Democratic primary voters in the final PIX11/Emerson College poll before the primary. Wiley, who has the backing of national progressives, had 18% while Garcia, who was endorsed by the New York Times and Daily News, had 17%.
The results show Adams steady and Wiley up one percentage point in a week, while Garcia had the largest jump, five percentage points.
Yang, an entrepreneur and former presidential candidate, was the first choice of 14% of respondents, down from 32% in early March. Stringer, the city comptroller, has 9% and former Citigroup Inc. banker Ray McGuire had 3% in the poll conducted June 15-16. Former city Housing Commissioner Shaun Donovan and Morales, a nonprofit executive each had 2%, while 10% remain undecided.
Crime was the top issue for 31% of respondents. -- Skylar Woodhouse
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