Lula Would Beat Bolsonaro in Brazil First-Round Vote, Poll Shows

Former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would beat incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in the first round of Brazilian elections, according to a poll carried out more than a year before the October 2022 vote.

Lula has 49% of voting intention against 23% for Bolsonaro, according to a Ipec poll carried out between June 17-21. The survey shows little room for an alternative that could break the political polarization that has gripped the country since 2018: other potential candidates receive no more than 7% of the votes.

Lula Would Beat Bolsonaro in Brazil First-Round Vote, Poll Shows

Lula’s chances have been growing since a top court justice tossed out criminal convictions against him, while Bolsonaro’s popularity has been suffering as a congressional committee investigates his handling of the pandemic.

More than half a million Brazilians have died from Covid-19 amid erratic government policies to combat the virus and buy vaccines.

Ipec interviewed 2,002 people across the country and the poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

BQ Install

Bloomberg Quint

Add BloombergQuint App to Home screen.