U.K. Bets 2 Million Vaccine Shots a Week Will End Lockdown
(Bloomberg) -- Boris Johnson pinned his hopes for a national recovery on a plan to deliver 2 million coronavirus vaccinations a week, as the U.K. went back into lockdown in an attempt to prevent hospitals being overwhelmed.
Amid dire warnings that the National Health Service could fail to cope with soaring infection rates, the prime minister shut England’s schools and ordered people across the country to stay at home. U.K. Chancellor of Exchequer Rishi Sunak on Tuesday pledged new support to help companies and Johnson will give a news conference at 5 p.m. London time.
Johnson warned of hard weeks ahead but announced a target to give shots to 13.9 million people at the highest risk from the disease by mid-February. Once they have all been vaccinated, the restrictions can begin to be eased, he said.
“With every jab that goes into our arms, we are tilting the odds against Covid and in favor of the British people,” Johnson said a televised address. “The weeks ahead will be the hardest yet, but I really do believe that we are entering the last phase of the struggle.”
Meeting the ambitious target will depend on having enough vaccine doses, according to Doug Brown, chief executive of the British Society for Immunology.
“The bottleneck doesn’t seem to be on the logistical side,” Brown said in an interview. “The NHS is ready to deliver.” If any glitches do arise, it will likely be with supply, he said. “If we get the supplies, we can vaccinate that many people.”
The emergency measures, matching curbs in other parts of the U.K., started on Monday night and will last until at least Feb. 15 as medics try to get a grip on the pandemic. Johnson said he had no option but to close down all social activities, education and non-essential travel in the face of a sudden and severe surge in infections.
The announcement risks potentially devastating retail and hospitality businesses and threatening to push the economy into recession again. The pound fell.
The police will have legal powers to use fines and dispersal orders to enforce the rules. Parliament will be recalled to debate the measures on Wednesday but the regulations are due to become law earlier that day, Johnson said.
The prime minister was forced to act after data showed new infections soaring past 80,000 on Dec. 29 and more people in the hospital than in the first peak of the virus in April.
By Jan. 4, there were almost 27,000 patients hospitalized with Covid-19 in England, a 30% increase in a week, which the government blamed on a surge in infections from a new, faster spreading strain of the virus.
|Johnson’s Third Covid Lockdown Rules for England|
Johnson resisted pressure from scientists and opposition lawmakers to lockdown the whole country in December. He cut back plans to allow families to mix over Christmas, but insisted he wanted to avoid nationwide curbs like those seen in March, choosing to keep a regional tier system in place instead.
Government chief medical officers for the four nations of the U.K. warned on Monday that the health service may not be able to cope without urgent action now. They issued a statement saying the NHS is “under immense pressure” already.
The British Medical Association, the union for doctors, underlined the crisis facing the NHS. “Hospitals are stretched to breaking point,” said Chaand Nagpaul, chair of the BMA council. “Doctors are desperate, with some even comparing their working environment to a war-zone as wards overflow.”
Scotland also announced a lockdown starting at midnight on Monday. “We are now in a race between the vaccine and the virus,” First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said.
What Bloomberg Economics Says...
“The double dip recession we had penciled in before Christmas is now almost certain to be deeper than we previously envisaged.”
-- Dan Hanson, U.K. economist. For the full report, click here.
Johnson had made keeping schools open for face-to-face learning a priority for his government. But scientists warned last month they would have to close to stop the virus from spreading. While children rarely suffer badly from the disease, they can infect their families after catching it from their friends.
“If we succeed in vaccinating all those groups, we will have removed huge numbers of people from the path of the virus,” Johnson said. “That will eventually enable us to lift many of the restrictions we have endured for so long.”
As the U.K. and other countries struggle with limited vaccine supplies, officials have suggested halving the dosage or extending the time between the first and the second injection. BioNTech on Tuesday echoed earlier comments from partner Pfizer, saying there’s no data to support such adjustments.
“The safety and efficacy of the vaccine has not been evaluated on different dosing schedules as the majority of trial participants received the second dose within the window specified in the study design,” BioNTech said by email.
There will be a time lag between vaccinating patients and the pressure on the NHS easing, Johnson said, adding that he is “cautious about the timetable ahead.” Vaccines Minister Nadhim Zahawi was more forthright about the target, saying on Twitter that “we will do this.”
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