Final Push as Key Poll Cuts Johnson’s Lead: U.K. Campaign Trail

(Bloomberg) --

Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn will embark on a frantic last day of campaigning after a YouGov poll of more than 100,000 voters suggested Johnson would win a parliamentary majority of just 28 seats.

The prediction, down from 68 in a similar forecast two weeks earlier, shows how the race has tightened. Both leaders will seek to spur voters to the polls with the message that Britain’s future is on a knife-edge.

Must Read: Boris Johnson’s Lead Cut in Key Forecast Ahead of U.K. Election

For more on the election visit: ELEC

Coming Up:

• Johnson will campaign in the north and east of England in a final push for votes.
• Corbyn will travel to Scotland, northeast England and the Midlands before ending the day with a rally in east London at 8 p.m.
• Labour’s economic spokesman John McDonnell will speak on Bloomberg TV at 8:45 a.m.
• Liberal Democrats leader Jo Swinson will tour target seats including Esher, where they aim to unseat Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab.
• Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage will be in Doncaster, seeking to win votes from Labour

Polls:

• YouGov MRP House of Commons seat forecast: Conservatives: 339, Labour: 231, Scottish National Party 41, Liberal Democrats 15
• YouGov sees Tories with 43% of vote, Labour 34%
• Ipsos MORI net favorability of party leaders: Johnson -14, Corbyn -30, Swinson -31, Farage -34.
• Click here for a summary of election polls

Catching Up:

• After unprecedented levels of disinformation, Britain faces up to the need for new election laws.
• Corbyn hurt by leak of senior ally’s phone call.
• Activists are promoting tactical voting to beat the U.K.’s first-past-post electoral system. Read our guide to how it could influence the outcome.
• How hedge funds are preparing for Thursday night’s results.
• The European Union hopes Johnson wins big to get Brexit over with.

The markets:

• The pound was little changed against the dollar at $1.3137 at 6:50 a.m. on Wednesday
• Sterling’s rally on bets for a win by the ruling Conservative party leaves it looking vulnerable to the actual result.
• The chances of a Conservative majority dipped to 75% from 80% on Monday, according to Betfair. There is a 26% chance of a hung parliament, according to the odds.

--With assistance from Peter Flanagan.

To contact the reporter on this story: Thomas Penny in London at tpenny@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Tim Ross at tross54@bloomberg.net, Chris Kay, Guy Collins

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