Trump Touts Tax Cuts in Minnesota, Seeking to Sway Public Opinion

(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump touted tax cuts passed by Republicans in 2017, even as the law has swelled the deficit and failed to gain traction with voters in last year’s midterm elections.

“We’re getting historic tax relief,” Trump said Monday at an event in Burnsville, Minnesota. “It’s the largest package of tax cuts and reforms in American history.”

The visit to Minnesota -- a potential swing state in the 2020 election -- is part of a week of events designed to promote the tax law’s effects on the economy as he turns to his re-election campaign. As Americans finish filing to the IRS for the first time under the new system, Trump is trying to turn public opinion over the cuts to his advantage.

Trump highlighted different cuts in the tax law, and described a doubling of the child tax credit. He said many Americans are getting an extra $2,000 a year in tax cuts, and others are getting “much more.”

“We lowered income tax rates across the board,” Trump said.

The Trump administration and congressional Republicans sold the tax law as fuel for economic growth and deficit reduction. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell gave assurances in December 2017 that the measure would not only contain the deficit but be a “revenue-producer.” Trump’s top economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, said last week that the tax cut package had largely already paid for itself, a statement that conflicts with government data.

The U.S. budget shortfall grew by 17 percent to $779 billion in fiscal year 2018, which the Congressional Budget Office has said was partly a consequence of the tax law. Along with additional spending that’s been signed into law, the CBO projects the deficit will surpass $1 trillion by 2020.

The nonpartisan Tax Policy Center that two out of three taxpayers would see their taxes go down. The biggest benefits, though, go to the top 1 percent, who are projected to receive an average tax break of $62,000 in 2018, while the middle one-fifth of income earners got an average tax cut of $1,090 — about $20 per week.

But an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll this month showed that just 17 percent of Americans believe their taxes have been cut. A Reuters/Ipsos poll in March found that 21 percent thought their taxes were lowered.

The tax cuts didn’t provide Republicans the boost they had hoped for in the November midterm elections when the Democrats took control of the House.

The tax law, passed by Republicans over Democrats’ objections, lowered the corporate rate from 35 percent to 21 percent and cut individual taxes across income brackets for eight years. It doubled the standard deduction and enhanced the child tax credit. And it closed or tightened various tax breaks — most notably by capping the amount of state and local taxes that can be deducted — which had its biggest impact on residents of high-tax, largely Democratic-run states.

There’s “no question” that the advantages for businesses from the tax plan have just begun to kick in, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Fox Business Monday. He said those benefits will become more apparent over the next few years.

--With assistance from Sahil Kapur and Laura Davison.

To contact the reporter on this story: Alyza Sebenius in Washington at asebenius@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Alex Wayne at awayne3@bloomberg.net, Joshua Gallu, Justin Blum

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