Mnuchin's Silence Signals His Displeasure With Trump's Trade War
Steven Mnuchin is signaling his displeasure with Trump’s trade war with China by saying nothing at all.
(Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is signaling his displeasure with President Donald Trump’s trade war with China by saying nothing at all.
Mnuchin, typically a vocal booster of even Trump’s small-bore economic achievements, is maintaining a deliberate silence to show his dissatisfaction as the president proceeds with tariffs on tens of billions of dollars in Chinese goods, said two people familiar with his thinking. He aims to resolve disputes over trade policy internally, they said.
Mnuchin decided silence was his best option after losing an internal White House battle last month to protectionists as the president considered the China tariffs, they said. The Treasury secretary sought to persuade Trump to take a more measured approach in negotiations. Instead, the president escalated the dispute -- first slapping penalties on $50 billion in Chinese goods last week, then threatening late Monday to impose tariffs on as much as $200 billion more if the country retaliates for the first round.
Silence is Mnuchin’s way of balancing loyalty to the president while preserving his personal credibility with financial markets, without publicizing disagreements among administration officials, the people said. They asked not to be identified describing his thinking.
His decision cedes at least temporarily the Treasury secretary’s traditional role as chief economic spokesman for the administration to people more willing to take up the cudgel against China and other U.S. trading partners, such as U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and White House trade adviser Peter Navarro. But by avoiding an open break Mnuchin hopes to maintain influence with the president, perhaps yet giving him the opportunity to persuade him to change course, the people said.
Market Worries
Mnuchin’s voice has been largely absent as investors unload riskier assets amid signs that the trade war is deepening. The S&P 500 sank the most in three weeks after Trump’s announcement of further tariffs on Monday and Beijing’s promise to retaliate. Stocks fell across Europe and Asia, where Chinese shares plunged after reopening following a holiday.
“Would the markets like a positive statement from the secretary of the Treasury? Yes, if it had some substance to it and was credible,” said Mickey Levy, chief economist at Berenberg Capital Markets in New York. “The market looks to Mnuchin as someone who can orchestrate and get something done and find that middle path, but it’s unclear how involved Mnuchin is in these negotiations with China.”
Mnuchin is engaged in the day-to-day development of Trump’s policy goals in China, including work on a report on curbing Chinese investment in sensitive technologies that will be released June 29, a Treasury Department spokesman said. He declined to comment on Mnuchin’s engagement with Chinese officials.
Mnuchin, the national finance chairman for Trump’s presidential campaign, has been one of his most steadfast supporters. He regularly celebrates even modest steps toward administration economic goals such as deregulation and tax law changes. And he’s thrust himself into controversies far outside his responsibilities on behalf of Trump, including a defense last August of Trump’s polarizing remarks on race following a rally by white supremacists in Charlottesville, Virginia that left a counter-protester dead.
The “globalist” label that opponents within the administration have fixed on Mnuchin grates on the Treasury secretary, who believes he has proven his loyalty to the president’s economic agenda, said one of the people familiar with his thinking.
Lowering Tensions
In May, Mnuchin took the lead in tamping down tensions between the U.S. and China through a delegation to Beijing and negotiations in Washington with China’s top economic envoy. Those meetings produced a brief truce, putting a hold on tariffs while the nations continued to talk. The deal was immediately condemned by Steve Bannon, a former adviser to the president and a China hawk, among others, who called Mnuchin too soft.
Since then, what the White House describes as a trade dispute with China has escalated with threats and counter-threats, sending markets reeling. Mnuchin has kept a low profile, including during a meeting with his counterparts from other major industrialized democracies and Trump’s announcement Friday that he would proceed with tariffs.
Mnuchin faced outrage from counterparts over U.S. trade policy during a Group of Seven finance ministers meeting in Canada last month. By the end, Japan’s Taro Aso said he almost “felt sorry” for the Treasury chief of the world’s biggest superpower.
Publicly at the G-7, Mnuchin reiterated the U.S.’s commitment to its “most important allies,” trying to cool tensions by pointing to other areas of agreement among the nations. But only a week later, Trump blew apart a carefully crafted effort at unity among the G-7 over economic policies, revoking his support for the group’s joint statement following its annual summit in Quebec. Mnuchin remained silent as his efforts unraveled.
Meanwhile, trade hawks inside and outside the Trump administration have portrayed Mnuchin as out of sync with the president’s populist base. The criticism heated up after Mnuchin said May 20 that the “trade war was on hold” after he helped negotiate a deal with the Chinese.
Navarro on May 30 publicly rebuked Mnuchin for the characterization. Later, unnamed White House officials leaked stories that Mnuchin urged Trump to exempt Canada from tariffs on steel and aluminum, a report that Kudlow, the president’s chief economic adviser, said was “patently false.”
--With assistance from Jenny Leonard.
To contact the reporter on this story: Saleha Mohsin in Washington at smohsin2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Alex Wayne at awayne3@bloomberg.net, Mike Dorning
©2018 Bloomberg L.P.