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South Africa’s Virus-Spurred Pariah Status Takes a Toll on Rand

South Africa’s Virus-Spurred Pariah Status Takes a Toll on Rand

The identification of a fresh Covid-19 strain in South Africa could not have come at a worse time for the rand.

Already reeling from concerns about Federal Reserve policy and a general risk-off mood because of emerging market politics, the currency is now on track for the biggest weekly drop for five months. It slid as much as 2.4% to the weakest level against the dollar since October 2020 on Friday.

South Africa’s Virus-Spurred Pariah Status Takes a Toll on Rand

With Germany and the U.K. among countries closing travel to and from South Africa, that diminishes the chances of an economic revival for the nation. Tourism-related stocks are getting hit, with hotel group City Lodge down more than 20% in Johannesburg.

Bond yields are surging, and the yield curve is steepening, suggesting traders are pricing in a growth slowdown. The longer-dated 2041 has risen about 20 basis points versus 6 for the 2026.

That’s set to damp any year-end cheer in markets.

  • NOTE: This was a post on Bloomberg’s Markets Live blog. The observations are those of the blogger and not intended as investment advice. For more markets analysis, run MLIV on the Bloomberg Terminal.

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