Florida, Trump’s New Home, Leads in Income Migration
Florida, Trump’s New Home, Leads U.S. in the Migration of Money
(Bloomberg) -- For Florida, migration is providing an economic boost.
Florida netted $16 billion in adjusted gross income from people moving to the Sunshine State between the time they filed their taxes in 2017 and 2018, making it the country’s top beneficiary for the sixth straight year, according to Internal Revenue Service data released Tuesday. The net economic benefit from migration increased 3% from $15.5 billion in the previous period.
The figures show the strength of Florida’s appeal -- not just its warm weather and growing cities, but also its lack of state income tax. While Florida has been a magnet for retirees for decades, real estate companies and government and development officials have also found success pitching the state to a younger generation.
Because many people filed their taxes in early 2018, the figures don’t clearly reflect the possible impact from the new tax law.
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, signed by President Donald Trump late that year, capped state and local tax deductions, essentially bumping up liabilities for high earners in certain tax-heavy states such as New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and California. Trump himself recently joined billionaires including Carl Icahn in disclosing moves from New York to Florida.
The Sunshine State was $12.5 billion ahead of the next strongest state, Arizona, in benefiting from migration. The biggest losers were New York and California, which bled $9.62 billion and $7.98 billion, respectively.
| State | Net ’18 | Net ’17 |
|---|---|---|
| Florida | $15,996,336 | $15,535,369 |
| Arizona | $3,516,940 | $3,772,874 |
| Texas | $3,380,024 | $3,161,065 |
| North Carolina | $2,964,013 | $3,812,860 |
| South Carolina | $2,468,510 | $3,358,958 |
Conservative economists Arthur Laffer and Stephen Moore, once a Federal Reserve board nominee, predicted in the Wall Street Journal in April 2018 that New York and California alone would double their pace of tax-related out-migration to 800,000 residents over three years.
The net migration of income to Florida fell short of the $17.2 billion record in filing year 2016. New York’s net out-migration declined slightly in 2018 from the previous year, while Connecticut’s plunged to $1.13 billion, the lowest figure in four years, from $2.12 billion in 2017.
The IRS compiles the migration data based on filers who change the addresses on their individual returns.
To contact the reporter on this story: Jonathan Levin in Miami at jlevin20@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Michael J. Moore at mmoore55@bloomberg.net, Margaret Collins
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