Argentina Economy Unexpectedly Shrank for Second Straight Month in March

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Argentina’s economy shrank for the second straight month in March as accelerating inflation diminished wage gains.

Economic activity declined 0.2% compared to February, far worse than economists’ expectations for 1% growth. From a year ago, activity rose 11.4% in March, reflecting the rebound from last year’s strict lockdown at the beginning of the pandemic.

Argentina Economy Unexpectedly Shrank for Second Straight Month in March

ARGENTINA REACT: March Activity Drop Still Allows for 1Q Growth

Faster inflation ate into Argentina’s second straight month of real wage growth in March, making paycheck gains marginal after months of losses. Manufacturing posted narrow gains in the month, while construction activity pulled back. Still, both those sectors have seen hiring expectations and job growth recover in recent months.

Argentine government officials see 7% economic growth this year, coming off three straight years of contraction. However, a recent ban on beef exports, in addition to retaliation from farm groups, complicates the outlook alongside elevated inflation.

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