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Oil Ekes Out Gain as Investors Focus on Supply Constraints

Oil rose after a two-day decline with Hurricane Ida still having an impact on U.S. crude output three weeks after making landfall.

Oil Ekes Out Gain as Investors Focus on Supply Constraints
Oil pumping jacks in an oil field at sunset in Russia. (Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg)

Oil ended higher after a choppy session as concerns over tightening supply outweighed fears over the state of China’s economy. 

Futures in New York closed 0.4% higher, posting the first gain in nearly a week. Worries over supply constraints in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico have trumped worsening financial troubles at China’s Evergrande Group, which could spill into the rest of the property sector and threaten the country’s economy.

Meanwhile, the industry funded-American Petroleum Institute reported U.S. crude stockpiles fell 6.11 million barrels last week. That would be a seventh straight weekly decrease if government data on Wednesday confirms it. 

“There are supply issues all around the market,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC.

Oil Ekes Out Gain as Investors Focus on Supply Constraints

Oil has resumed its advance over the past month, in part due to a tightening of the market following lingering supply disruptions from U.S. storms. At the same time, consumption is coming into focus in anticipation that soaring natural gas prices will force a shift toward oil.

Also read: Diesel May Be Big Winner as Asia’s Winter Gas Crunch Fans Demand 

Meanwhile, the lifting of U.S. travel restrictions could add as much as 200,000 barrels a day of jet fuel demand, according to Energy Aspects Ltd.

Some of the volatility in Tuesday’s trading session may have stemmed from traders adjusting positions ahead of the expiration of Nymex October crude futures. 

Prices
  • West Texas Intermediate for November rose 74 cents to $70.88 a barrel at 4:51 p.m. in New York in after-market trading after settling at $70.49 a barrel
    • The October contract, which expired Tuesday, rose 27 cents to settle at $70.56 a barrel
  • Brent for November delivery added 77 cents to 74.69 a barrel after settling at $74.36 a barrel

As the Organization of Petroleum Exporting countries continues to lift output, two key members said the group should carry on ramping up supply as planned. The alliance, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, will meet on Oct. 4 to review the next monthly increment of 400,000 barrels a day. 

The API also reported a 432,000-barrel-drop in U.S. gasoline supplies and a decline of 2.72 million barrels in distillate supplies. The Energy Information Administration will release its inventory report on Wednesday.

Other market news:
  • Iran’s talks with world powers to revive the 2015 nuclear deal are likely to resume within the next few weeks, Saeed Khatibzadeh, the country’s foreign ministry spokesman, told the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency.
  • ConocoPhillips agreed to acquire Royal Dutch Shell Plc’s Permian Basin assets for $9.5 billion in cash, accelerating the consolidation of the largest U.S. oil patch.

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