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Iraq Sees $45 Oil in First Quarter, Minister Tells Al-Sabah

The government is basing its 2021 draft budget on a price of $42 a barrel.

Iraq Sees $45 Oil in First Quarter, Minister Tells Al-Sabah
Giant storage tanks at the under-construction Dangote Industries Ltd. oil refinery and fertilizer plant site in the Ibeju Lekki district, outside of Lagos, Nigeria. (Photographer: Tom Saater/Bloomberg)

Iraq, OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer, expects crude prices to remain at around $41 to $42 a barrel this year before rising to $45 in the first quarter of 2021, the state-run Al-Sabah newspaper reported, citing an interview with Oil Minister Ihsan Abdul Jabbar.

Iraq’s exports in October stand at 2.6 million barrels a day and will continue at this level in line with the OPEC+ agreement on limiting global output, Jabbar said. The minister reiterated Iraq’s compliance with the OPEC+ pact and said the country fully complied with its output quota.

The government is basing its 2021 draft budget on a price of $42 a barrel, given the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on demand, the paper reported him saying. Benchmark Brent crude ended trading on Friday at $42.85 a barrel and is down 35% this year.

Brent, which averaged more than $64 last year, plunged in March and April as the coronavirus pandemic stifled fuel use. Iraq is worried about the health of the oil market and remains committed to the OPEC+ deal, including extra cuts to compensate for the country’s previous overproduction, Jabbar told Bloomberg in an interview earlier this month.

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.