Gold Parades Haven Status With Rally to Highest Close Since ‘13
Bullion is up more than 4% in 2020, benefiting from the flight to haven assets.
(Bloomberg) -- Gold is once again showcasing its long-standing reputation as an effective haven in troubled times, trading near the highest close in more than six years on rising concern over the economic and human impact of China’s deadly coronavirus. Miners’ shares advanced.
Bullion was steady after surging Monday as investors weighed the fallout from the spread of the disease, with Germany seeing its first case. As the death toll in China topped 100 and the number of cases soared, the director-general of the World Health Organization is visiting Beijing to assess the response.
Bullion is up more than 4% in 2020, benefiting from the flight to haven assets, while equities have swooned along with industrial commodities. Investors are assessing the extent of the hit to growth in China, as well as further afield. As the crisis unfolds, financial markets are also set to track Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks following this week’s Federal Reserve rate-setting meeting.
The virus-driven “sell-off in equity markets will likely drive gold demand over the short term,” said Stephen Innes, chief market strategist at AxiCorp Financial Services Pty. “The more rapid pace of contagion will represent another significant headwind to global growth, bullish for gold.”
Financial markets across China will remain shut until Monday after officials extended the Lunar New Year break from the original Jan. 30 date in a bid to reduce travel. Authorities have also locked down cities with a combined 40 million people as they race to contain the virus.
Nearing $1,600
Spot gold traded at $1,578.60 an ounce at 6:50 a.m. in London after closing at $1,582.06 on Monday, the highest since April 2013. On an intraday basis, bullion briefly topped $1,600 earlier this month on U.S.-Iranian tensions.
While gold’s safe-haven demand may edge higher on expectations that the virus outbreak may pressure the already-weakened global economy, a stable dollar and limited physical market activities may curb major gains, Hareesh V., head of commodity research at Geojit Financial Services, said in a note.
Gold miners’ shares climbed in Sydney while the broader market fell. Newcrest Mining Ltd., Australia’s largest producer, climbed as much as 2.4%, as Evolution Mining Ltd. advanced as much as 3.5%.
“Now focus is shifting to the Fed,” Innes added. Attention will be on Powell’s remarks, and how “the Fed responds to questions about the financial stability risks created via the Fed’s liquidity injection due to balance sheet expansion.”
Among other main precious metals, silver fell 0.4%, platinum gained 0.5%, and palladium rallied 2.7% following a 6.6% slump on Monday.
--With assistance from Swansy Afonso.
To contact the reporter on this story: Ranjeetha Pakiam in Singapore at rpakiam@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Phoebe Sedgman at psedgman2@bloomberg.net, Alpana Sarma, Jake Lloyd-Smith
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