Global Slide Pulls India's Sensex to Worst Week in Four Months

(Bloomberg) -- Indian equities dropped following a decline in global stocks as trade tensions between the U.S. and China continued to weigh on sentiment, with the two sides reported to be far apart on proposed resolutions. India’s key indexes capped their worst weekly decline in nearly four months.

The benchmark S&P BSE Sensex dropped 0.2 percent to 35,808.95 at the 3:30 p.m. close in Mumbai, paring a loss of as much as 1 percent in the day. The NSE Nifty 50 Index also fell 0.2 percent and both the gauges extended their retreat this week to 2 percent, the steepest for that period since Oct. 28.

A deadly attack against Indian security forces overnight weighed on investor sentiment as Prime Minister Narendra Modi said the nation will give a “befitting reply.” The outcome of India’s national elections in May, however, is seen as the biggest local event that will set a direction for markets. Until then, equity gauges are expected to react to progress on global developments such as Brexit and U.S.-China trade talks.

Global Slide Pulls India's Sensex to Worst Week in Four Months

Strategist View

  • “We think the Nifty is fairly valued at 10,500 and don’t see any significant move, up or down, until the outcome of general elections,” said Jigar Shah, head of research at Maybank Kim Eng Securities India Pvt. in Mumbai. “Investors will take the flight to safety in this market by holding share of larger companies in businesses such as software, pharmaceuticals and consumer companies.”
  • “Even as there’s a simmering anger among citizens after killing of Indian security forces in Kashmir, it’s hard to see any correlation between these events and the markets.”
  • “There has to be a resolution of some kind or the other between the U.S. and China as both of them can’t afford to stretch this beyond a point,” he said.

The Numbers

  • Thirty-three of the 50 Nifty shares and 20 of the 31 Sensex stocks retreated. The nation’s top drugmaker Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. fell 4 percent, most among Sensex members, reversing Thursday’s gain.
  • Of the 50 Nifty companies that reported earnings for October to December, 35 either beat or matched analyst estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
  • Thirteen of the 19 sector indexes compiled by BSE Ltd. dropped, led by a gauge of metal stocks.
  • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. dropped 6.5 percent to lowest since July 2018 as it reported a lower-than-estimated net income for the end-December quarter.
  • The India NSE Volatility Index climbed 4.4 percent, the most in more than two weeks.

Analyst Notes/Market-related Stories

  • India Terror Attack May Prompt a ‘Knee-Jerk’ Market Reaction
  • Birla Fashion Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT 250 Rupees
  • Vodafone Idea Downgraded to Sell at Goldman; PT 20 Rupees

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