Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day
More bad signs in the market, increasing tension in Hong Kong, and an onion crisis in India. Here are some of the things people in markets are talking about today.
Good news is hard to come by in markets right now. The S&P 500 has suffered its first back-to-back drops of more than 1% this year and questions are floating about recession, after U.S. private payrolls fell short of expectations Wednesday, and a key U.S. manufacturing gauge dropped to the lowest in a decade and car sales sank Tuesday. Meanwhile, investors are getting tetchy over the fact that the stock market hasn’t budged for almost two years, after the S&P 500 losses just undid weeks and months of progress. Elsewhere, Hong Kong retail sales suffered a record slump in August, while Kyle Bass has predicted a “severe” economic decline there.
Markets to Slide
Asian stocks looked set to follow U.S. stocks down amid increased concerns about a global slowdown. Futures pointed lower in Japan, Australia and Hong Kong, with markets in China and South Korea closed for holidays. The 10-year Treasury yield fell for a fifth straight day to 1.6% on U.S. hiring numbers. The yen rose versus the dollar and gold spiked above $1,500. Elsewhere, oil fell to the lowest level in almost two months after swelling inventories in the world’s biggest economy added to a pessimistic and weakening economic backdrop.
Tensions in Hong Kong are probably going to escalate, if the words of protest organizers are anything to go by. The Civil Human Rights Front will plan “large-scale mobilization” to respond to an escalation of use of force by police which ended in one teenage demonstrator being shot at close range on Tuesday, according to a Facebook post. The incident could now help drive momentum for the protests until local elections in November — the next big date on the city’s political calendar. Demonstrators hit the streets again on Wednesday, following the release of the violent images of the shooting, which also show the protester striking the police officer with a metal rod.
Onions may seem like an unlikely source for controversy, yet here we are. In India — where the vegetable is as ubiquitous in cooking as spices — prices surged more than 200% in September from previous months. Heavy monsoon rains are being blamed for damaged crops and reduced supplies. The government has banned onion exports and is cracking down on hoarding to lower prices, angering farmers who took to the streets on Monday in protest. Meanwhile, India’s worsening banking problems are adding a new layer of complication to the central bank’s monetary policy as it looks to spur economic growth. The Reserve Bank of India is set to lower its benchmark repurchase rate for a fifth time this year on Friday, days after it reassured the public that the banking system is “safe and stable.” It also recently imposed withdrawal curbs on a small bank and lending restrictions on another lender.
This Or Nothing: Johnson
Boris Johnson told the European Union to compromise on the controversial backstop arrangement or watch the U.K. walk away from Brexit talks. Under the British prime minister’s latest proposal, Northern Ireland would remain in regulatory alignment with the EU for agricultural products and manufactured goods, but would be able to exit the arrangements if it wanted following a vote every four years. Johnson’s plan includes enough compromises to keep the EU at the negotiating table, but European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said it had “problematic points.” On Thursday, Johnson will start the work of winning support in Parliament for a deal that, until recently, would have been rejected both by Brexit hardliners in his own Conservative Party and by members of Parliament from Northern Ireland.
What We’ve Been Reading
This is what’s caught our eye over the past 24 hours.
- Indonesia will open up its economy to more foreign investment, Jokowi says.
- Prices of scotch, French wine and European cheeses are about to go up in the U.S.
- Pompeo said he was on the phone call with Trump and the Ukrainian president.
- The new model for how to invest your pension is in Australia.
- A 37-year-old ex-JPMorgan banker is fighting the world’s worst traffic.
- Tesla set another record for quarterly vehicle deliveries, but fell short of Musk’s mark.
- A billionaire on top of the world chooses China’s Huawei to expand.
©2019 Bloomberg L.P.