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Defense Stocks Rally as Citi Sees Iran Risk Boosting Spending

Defense Stocks May Gain as Iran Risk Boosts Spending, Citi Says

(Bloomberg) -- Shares of defense companies rallied as Citi said Democrats may not be able to make a case against more military spending as conflict in the Middle East ratchets up.

“Middle East tension could change the 2020 defense conversation,” potentially lifting a “sentiment overhang” for equities, analyst Jonathan Raviv wrote in a note. “As is always the unfortunate case, defense stocks tend to benefit from perceptions of heightened risk and the potential for geopolitical conflict,” he said.

On Thursday, a U.S. airstrike in Iraq ordered by President Donald Trump killed a key Iranian military leader, Qassem Soleimani, rattling global markets.

Defense Stocks Rally as Citi Sees Iran Risk Boosting Spending

In Friday morning trading, the S&P 500 Aerospace & Defense Index rose as much as 1.5% to the highest intraday since Nov. 27. Top gainers included Northrop Grumman Corp., up as much as 5.6%, the most since July; Lockheed Martin Corp., higher by as much as 3.9% to a record high; Raytheon Co., which gained as much as 2.5%, also to a record, and L3Harris Technologies Inc., which climbed as much as 3.7%.

Defense Stocks Rally as Citi Sees Iran Risk Boosting Spending

In December, Buckingham analyst Richard Safran said U.S. defense stocks may again outperform in 2020 as the group typically does well in an election year, largely due to a “flight to safety trade.” His favorites were Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman and L3Harris.

To contact the reporter on this story: Felice Maranz in New York at fmaranz@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Catherine Larkin at clarkin4@bloomberg.net, Steven Fromm

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