All You Need To Know Going Into Trade On April 25

Asian shares traded mixed Thursday after U.S. equities retreated from a record high as investors assessed corporate earnings and economic data.

Stocks saw modest gains in Japan and slipped in Korea. Australian markets were closed for a holiday. The Singapore-traded SGX Nifty, an early indicator of NSE Nifty 50 Index’s performance in India, traded 0.17 percent lower at 11,716.50 as of 7:20 a.m.

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Here’s a quick look at all that could influence equities today.

U.S. Markets

• U.S. markets edged lower from Tuesday’s record close as AT&T Inc. and Caterpillar Inc. fell after reporting first-quarter results while, Boeing Co. rose.
• The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose one basis points to 2.52 percent.

Asian Cues

• Topix Index rose 0.1 percent.
• Kospi Index fell 0.6 percent.
• Australia is closed for a holiday.

Commodity Cues

• Brent crude fell 0.24 percent to $74.39 per barrel.
• West Texas crude fell 0.5 percent to $65.58 a barrel.
• Gold fell 0.2 percent to $1,273.59 an ounce.

London Metal Exchange

• Aluminium ended 0.32 percent higher.
• Copper ended higher after a two-day fall, up 0.64 percent.
• Tin ended lower for the sixth day, down 0.96 percent.
• Lead ended higher after a two-day blip, up 0.42 percent.
• Nickel snapped its five-day losing steak, up 0.13 percent.
• Zinc ended lower for the third day, down 0.22 percent.

Nifty Results

• Axis Bank
• Maruti Suzuki India
• Tata Steel

Other Results

• Aditya Birla Money
• Biocon
• Cyient
• GHCL
• Multi Commodity Exchange of India
• Oriental Hotels
• Rallis India
• SBI Life Insurance
• Wendt
• Vesuvius
• Indiabulls Venture
• Apcotex Industries

Earnings Reaction To Watch

Bharti Infratel (Q4 Consolidated QoQ)

• Revenue down 1.1 percent to Rs 3,600 crore
• Net profit down 6.3 percent to Rs 608 crore
• Ebitda up 1.4 percent to Rs 1,534 crore
• Margin at 42.6 percent versus 41.6 percent
• Declared dividend of Rs 7.5 per share

Indiabulls Housing Finance (Q4 Consolidated YoY)

• Net interest income down 1.1 percent to Rs 1,835.1 crore
• Net profit down 6.9 percent to Rs 1,001.4 crore
• Gross NPAs at 0.88 percent versus 0.79 percent (QoQ)
• Net NPAs at 0.69 percent versus 0.59 percent (QoQ)

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (Q4 Standalone YoY)

• Net Interest Income up 26.7 percent to Rs 1,267 crore
• Net profit up 87 percent to Rs 588 crore
• Impairment gain of Rs 114.5 crore

Agro Tech Foods (Q4 Standalone YoY)

• Revenue down 6.6 percent to Rs 200.2 crore
• Net profit up 10.7 percent to Rs 8.3 crore
• Ebitda down 6.4 percent to Rs 14.7 crore
• Margin flat at 7.3 percent

Shriram City Union Finance (Q4 Standalone YoY)

• Net Interest Income up 9.2 percent to Rs 937.9 crore
• Net profit up 11.4x times to Rs 251.3 crore
• ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company (Q4 Consolidated YoY)
• Net premium income up 16.2 percent to Rs 10,056.3 crore
• Net profit down 23.3 percent to Rs 261 crore

Syngene International (Q4 Consolidated YoY)

• Revenue up 30.5 percent to Rs 533.9 crore
• Net profit up 18.5 percent to Rs 100.1 crore
• Ebitda up 71 percent to Rs 167.9 crore
• Margin at 31.4 percent versus 24 percent
• Forex gain of Rs 30.9 crore

IPO Watch

• Neogen Chemicals IPO gets 27 percent demand for shares offered on first day sale, offer close on April 24.

Pledged Share Details

• Emami promoter groups invoked pledge of 3 lakh shares on April 20
• Mercator promoter Harish Kumar Mittal revoked pledge of 10 lakh shares on October 27,2018 and invoked pledge 21.5 lakh shares from April 5-10

Corporate Actions

• Quick Heal Technologies ex-date for share buyback
• HT Media price band revised to 20 percent
• Bharat Road Network price band revised to 5 percent

Who’s Meeting Whom

• Excel Cropcare to meet ICICI Pru MF, SBI MF and IndiaNivesh Investment Managers on April 26

Insider Trading

Crest Ventures promoter Fine Estates acquired 30,700 shares on April 22

Futures Across All Series

• Nifty open interest up 12 percent, adds 23 lakh shares in open interest
• Bank Nifty open interest up 13 percent, adds 2.8 lakh shares in open interest
• Nifty Rollover 58 percent, Bank Nifty Rollover 56 percent

Options

• Nifty PCR at 1.65 versus 1.30 (across all series)

Nifty Options Expiry April 25

• Max open interest at 11,500P (27.4 lakh shares), 11,600P (27.2 lakh shares) and 11,800C (27.1 lakh shares)
• Open interest addition seen for Put strikes 11,700 (+11.6 lakh shares), 11,650 (+8.3 lakh shares)
• Open interest shedding seen for call strikes 11,700 (-35.7 lakh shares), 11,600 (-14.5 lakh shares)

Stocks In Ban

• In ban: Adani Power, DLF, IDBI, Idea, Jet Airways, Reliance Power
• Out of ban: PC Jewellers

Brokerage Radar

CLSA on Bharti Infratel

• Downgraded to ‘Sell’ from ‘Outperform’; cut target price to Rs 285 from Rs 300.
• Q4 below estimates; tenancy outlook remains muted.
• Network optimisation by Vodafone Idea and slowdown in new tenancies by Jio slowed tenancy adds.
• Cut EPS estimates for FY20-21 by 2-4 percent.

Macquarie on Hexaware

• Maintained ‘Outperform’; hike target price to Rs 460 from Rs 440.
• Decent start to CY19 despite seasonal factors.
• Margin levers to be gradual in CY19.
• M&A to be focused on existing strategy.

CLSA on ICICI Prudential Life

• Maintained ‘Buy’; hiked target price to Rs 475 from Rs 450.
• Uptick in premium growth and rebound in persistency were encouraging.
• Protection business scale up to improve profitability and reduce volatility.
• With valuations at a discount to HDFC Life, see scope for re-rating.

Morgan Stanley on Indiabulls Housing

• Maintained ‘Underweight’ with target price of Rs 600.
• Q4 in-line; liability growth remains a challenge.
• Focus on liquidity and ALM continues.
• Ability to expand will be key for growth.
• Loan sell-downs cannot drive sustainable earnings growth.

Macquarie on Indiabulls Housing

• Maintained ‘Outperform’ with target price of Rs 836.
• Q4 numbers optically bad; Company slammed the breaks hard to conserve cash.
• Given India’s liquidity scenario, growth and profitability metrics should be ignored for few quarters.
• Q4 results don’t matter; RBI approval single most important variable.

Morgan Stanley on M&M Finance

• Maintained ‘Overweight’ with target price of Rs 545.
• Q4: strong showing in tough environment.
• Collections were strong which is key; disbursements ex-SME was healthy.
• Among the best positioned NBFCs with parentage and vintage.

JPMorgan on M&M Finance

• Maintained ‘Underweight’ with target price of Rs 390.
• Q4: NPL and coverage reduction aids earnings.
• Quality of beat is low; NIMs largely flat despite higher funding cost.
• Trades at a mark premium to peer group.

HSBC on UltraTech Cement

• Maintained ‘Reduce’; hike target price to Rs 3,200 from Rs 3,140.
• Volumes in-line, better-than-expected cost efficiencies resulted in meaningful beat.
• Ramp up of UNCL assets has been progressing well; Ebitda/tonne breached Rs 1,000-mark after six quarters.
• Low return ratios and stretched valuations are not comforting.

CLSA on UltraTech Cement

• Maintained ‘Buy’; hike target to Rs 5,270 from Rs 5,025.
• Strong Q4 results; focus now on reducing debt.
• Optimistic outlook; higher prices improves near-term outlook.

UBS on Havells India

• Maintained ‘Sell’; hike target price to Rs 685 from Rs 540.
• Lloyd ramp-up into a mass premium brand may take a while.
• Higher valuations led to hike in target price.
• Stock is pricing in high level of optimism.

HSBC on ICICI Lombard

• Maintained ‘Reduce’; Cut target price to Rs 810 from Rs 830.
• Q4 results were weak and offer several medium-term directional insights.
• Company focusing on motor insurance.
• Third-party motor insurance to drive investment float.