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Hedge Funds Raise Bets Against H&M After Worst Year Since 2000

Hedge Funds Raise Bets Against H&M After Worst Year Since 2000

(Bloomberg) -- Hennes & Mauritz AB shares plunged 33 percent in 2017, marking their worst year since the beginning of this century. But short trading data shows hedge funds are expecting the Swedish fashion retailer to keep falling.

Short interest in H&M is now above 9 percent of outstanding shares, according to Markit data. A year ago, it was only 4 percent. Shares in the Stockholm-based company fell about 1.5 percent on Thursday, their biggest decline in more than a week.

Hedge Funds Raise Bets Against H&M After Worst Year Since 2000

Hedge funds betting against the Stockholm-based company include AQR Capital Management, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. So far, they’ve had little reason to regret their positions, with H&M shares already down about 17 percent this year.

Hedge Funds Raise Bets Against H&M After Worst Year Since 2000

H&M is now the most shorted stock on the Swedish benchmark OMXS30 index after Getinge AB, a manufacturer of sterilization and disinfection products for the healthcare industry.

H&M’s chief executive officer, Karl-Johan Persson, says management is working on turning things around.

“We feel confident about online” and with the “new business portfolio,” the CEO said this month at H&M’s first-ever capital markets day. “I believe in a gradual improvement over the year, first quarter will be weak and then a gradual improvement. Then we’ll see. But we have many improvements in process that have the ability to counteract the shift in the industry.”
Hedge Funds Raise Bets Against H&M After Worst Year Since 2000

But analysts who cover H&M are predicting more declines, with the average price target of estimates collected by Bloomberg falling to 136.4 kronor. That’s about 3 percent below the company’s current share price.

Hedge Funds Raise Bets Against H&M After Worst Year Since 2000

Of the 36 analysts who cover H&M and are tracked by Bloomberg, two have buy ratings. Nineteen are advising clients to sell.

Hedge Funds Raise Bets Against H&M After Worst Year Since 2000

--With assistance from Anna Molin

To contact the reporters on this story: Niklas Magnusson in Stockholm at nmagnusson1@bloomberg.net, Hanna Hoikkala in Stockholm at hhoikkala@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Tasneem Hanfi Brögger at tbrogger@bloomberg.net, Christian Wienberg

©2018 Bloomberg L.P.