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All You Need To Know Going Into Trade On Feb. 5

Asian equities headed lower, extending the biggest selloff for global stocks in two years.

Financial traders monitor data on computer screens on the trading floor inside the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, operated by Euronext NV, in Amsterdam, Netherlands. (Photographer: Jasper Juinen/Bloomberg)
Financial traders monitor data on computer screens on the trading floor inside the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, operated by Euronext NV, in Amsterdam, Netherlands. (Photographer: Jasper Juinen/Bloomberg)

Asian equities fell and U.S. stock futures headed lower, extending the biggest selloff for global stocks in two years as investors adjusted to a surge in global bond yields.

The Singapore-traded SGX Nifty, an early indicator of NSE Nifty 50 Index’s performance in India, fell 0.8 percent to 10,623 as of 7:00 a.m.

Short on time? Well, then listen to this podcast for a quick summary of the article!

DayBreak

Here’s a quick look at all that could influence equities on Monday.

Global Cues

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 666 points in the biggest plunge since June 2016, as the worsening bond rout stirred angst that the Federal Reserve will accelerate its rate-hike schedule.
  • Solid jobs data that underscored the strength of the economy sent bond bulls scurrying and rattled equity investors who haven’t seen a week this bad in two years.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield popped above 2.85 percent for the first time since January 2014.
All You Need To Know Going Into Trade On Feb. 5

Europe Check

  • The biggest weekly selloff since the U.S. presidential election has erased European stocks’ gains for 2018.
  • In a rout prompted by concern about rising government bond yields, Stoxx Europe has erased an annual gain that had reached 3.5 percent just over a week ago.
  • Stocks are down for a fifth day, following their best start to a year since 2015.
All You Need To Know Going Into Trade On Feb. 5

Asian Cues

  • Japan’s Topix index declined 1.9 percent and the Nikkei 225 Stock Average sank 2.2 percent.
  • South Korea’s Kospi index fell 1.5 percent.
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 1.3 percent and New Zealand’s S&P/NZX 50 Index sank 1.7 percent.
  • Contracts on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index declined 1.3 percent.
  • The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index fell 1 percent.

Here are some of the other key events scheduled for this week:

  • Monetary policy decisions are due in Australia, Russia, India, Brazil, Poland, Romania, the U.K., New Zealand, Serbia, Peru, and the Philippines.
  • Earnings season continues with reports from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Ryanair, Toyota Motor Corp., BNP Paribas, BP, General Motors, Walt Disney, SoftBank, Sanofi, Philip Morris, Total, Tesla, Rio Tinto, L’Oreal and Twitter.
  • Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and New York Fed President William Dudley are among policy officials due to speak in New York.

Commodity Cues

  • Brent trades lower at $67.9 per barrel; down 1 percent.
  • WTI trades lower at $64.9 per barrel; down 0.9 percent.
  • Spot gold trades steady at $1,333 an ounce.
  • Sugar ended higher for second day at 13.6 cents per pound, up 1.9 percent.

Shanghai Exchange

  • Steel trades lower; down 0.6 percent.
  • Aluminium trades higher for second day; up 0.2 percent.
  • Zinc continue to trades lower, albeit marginally.
  • Copper snaps two-day winning streak; up 0.4 percent.
  • Rubber trades lower for fifth day; down 0.2 percent.

Indian ADRs

All You Need To Know Going Into Trade On Feb. 5

Nifty Earnings To Watch

  • Bosch
  • Tata Motors

Other Earnings To Watch

  • Cochin Shipyard
  • Colgate Palmolive
  • ENIL
  • Eveready Industries
  • Greaves Cotton
  • Hudco
  • IFCI
  • Timken India
  • Ujjivan Financial Services
  • Westlife Development

Earnings Reaction To Watch

3M India Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 12 percent at Rs 646 crore.
  • Net profit up 119 percent at Rs 92 crore.
  • Ebitda up 94 percent at Rs 126 crore.
  • Margin at 19.5 percent versus 11.3 percent.

Mirza International Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 11 percent at Rs 254 crore.
  • Net profit up 21 percent at Rs 20.9 crore.
  • Ebitda up 14 percent at Rs 45.6 crore.
  • Margin at 18 percent versus 17.5 percent.

United Breweries Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 17 percent at Rs 1,197 crore.
  • Net profit down 3 percent at Rs 47 crore.
  • Ebitda up 19 percent at Rs 152.5 crore.
  • Margin at 12.7 percent versus 12.5 percent.

Tata Global Beverages Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue down 0.6 percent at Rs 1,730 crore.
  • Net profit up 31 percent at Rs 168 crore.
  • Ebitda up 29 percent at Rs 234.5 crore.
  • Margin at 13.6 percent versus 10.5 percent.

Bajaj Holdings & Investment Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 15 percent at Rs 318 crore.
  • Net profit up 41 percent at Rs 914 crore.

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue flat at Rs 704 crore.
  • Net profit up 70 percent at Rs 90 crore.
  • Ebitda up 172 percent at Rs 141.5 crore.
  • Margin at 20.1 percent versus 7.4 percent.

Thomas Cook Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 51 percent at Rs 3,005 crore.
  • Net profit of Rs 10 crore versus net loss of Rs 7.7 crore.
  • Ebitda up 124 percent at Rs 120 crore.
  • Margin at 4 percent versus 2.7 percent.

Hi-Tech Gears Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenues up 33 percent at Rs 124 crore.
  • Net profit up 124 percent at Rs 7.4 crore.
  • Ebitda up 78 percent at Rs 16 crore.
  • Margin at 12.9 percent versus 9.6 percent.

Aegis Logistics Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 15.6 percent at Rs 1,442 crore.
  • Net profit up 44.6 percent at Rs 53.5 crore.
  • Ebitda up 21 percent at Rs 72 crore.
  • Margin at 5 percent versus 4.8 percent.

IEX Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 30 percent at Rs 65 crore.
  • Net profit up 24 percent at Rs 36 crore.
  • Ebitda up 43 percent at Rs 53 crore.
  • Margin at 81.5 percent versus 74 percent.

Mangalam Organics Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 95 percent at Rs 78 crore.
  • Net profit up 125 percent at Rs 3.6 crore.
  • Ebitda up 113 percent at Rs 6.4 crore.
  • Margin at 8.2 percent versus 7.5 percent.

CL Educate Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 34 percent at Rs 65 crore.
  • Net loss of Rs 0.5 crore versus net loss of Rs 1.3 crore.
  • Ebitda loss at Rs 1 crore versus Ebitda loss at Rs 2.5 crore.
  • Margin at -1.5 percent versus -5.2 percent.

Tata Metaliks Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenues up 63 percent at Rs 490 crore.
  • Net profit up 105 percent at Rs 40 crore.
  • Ebitda up 69 percent at Rs 72 crore.
  • Margin at 14.7 percent versus 14.2 percent.

RPG Life Sciences Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 45 percent at Rs 95.7 crore.
  • Net profit up four times at Rs 5.5 crore.
  • Ebitda up 127.7 percent at Rs 12 crore.
  • Margin at 12.5 percent versus 8 percent.

Thyrocare Technologies Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 19.2 percent at Rs 83.9 crore.
  • Net profit up 134 percent at Rs 21.5 crore.
  • Ebitda up 34.7 percent at Rs 35.4 crore.
  • Margin at 42.2 percent versus 37.3 percent.
  • Exceptional loss of Rs 6.8 crore in base quarter.

Aarti Industries Q3FY18 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 28.6 percent at Rs 990.2 crore.
  • Net profit up 22.1 percent at Rs 90.2 crore.
  • Ebitda up 18.3 percent at Rs 177.8 crore.
  • Margin at 17.96 percent versus 19.50 percent.

Lumax Industries Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 25.5 percent at Rs 370.8 crore.
  • Net profit up 9.1 percent at Rs 18.0 crore.
  • Ebitda up 29.8 percent at Rs 32.9 crore.
  • Margin at 8.9 percent versus 8.6 percent.

Relaxo Footwears Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 24.9 percent at Rs 457.5 crore.
  • Net profit up 56.8 percent at Rs 38.18 crore.
  • Ebitda up 34.8 percent at Rs 71.86 crore.
  • Margin at 15.7 percent versus 14.5 percent.

Selan Exploration Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 50.2 percent at Rs 21.22 crore.
  • Net profit up 166.8 percent at Rs 6.6 crore.
  • Ebitda up 314 percent at Rs 8.9 crore.
  • Margin at 41.9 percent versus 15.2 percent.

Accelya Kale Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 4.5 percent at Rs 92 crore.
  • Net profit down 3 percent at Rs 22.3 crore.
  • Ebitda up 2 percent at Rs 35.6 crore.
  • Margin at 38.7 percent versus 39.8 percent.

Gujarat Gas Q3 (QoQ)

  • Revenue up 13 percent at Rs 1571 crore.
  • Net profit down 1.6 percent at Rs 60 crore.
  • Ebitda flat at Rs 200 crore.
  • Margin at 12.7 percent versus 14.5 percent.

Sical Logistics Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 33 percent at Rs 329 crore.
  • Net profit down 40 pecent at Rs 6 crore.
  • Ebitda up 11 percent at Rs 43 crore.
  • Margin at 13.1 percent versus 15.6 percent.

Pokarna Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue down 1 percent at Rs 88 crore.
  • Net profit down 21 percent at Rs 13.6 crore.
  • Ebitda down 6 percent at Rs 30 crore.
  • Margin at 34.1 percent versus 36 percent.

Inox Wind Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue down 92 percent at Rs 91 crore.
  • Net loss of Rs 46 crore versus net profit of Rs 107.5 crore.
  • Ebitda loss at Rs 18 crore versus Ebitda profit of Rs 185 crore.
  • Margin at -19.8 percent versus 15.9 percent.

Jindal Drilling Q3 (YoY)

  • Revenue down 67 percent at Rs 36 crore.
  • Net loss of Rs 2.3 crore versus net profit of Rs 7.65 crore.
  • Ebitda loss at Rs 5.4 crore versus Ebitda profit of Rs 4.4 crore.
  • Margin at -15 percent versus 4.1 percent.

Union Bank Of India Q3 (YoY)

  • NII up 19.3 percent at Rs 2,548.26 crore.
  • Net loss at Rs 1,250 vrore versus net profit of Rs 104 crore.
  • Gross NPA at 13.03 percent versus 12.35 percent (QoQ).
  • Net NPA at 6.96 percent versus 6.70 percent (QoQ).

Procter & Gamble Hygiene Q2 (YoY)

  • Revenues up 9.5 percent at Rs 704.16 crore.
  • Net profit down 12.9 percent at Rs 131.24 crore.
  • Ebitda down 8.0 percent at Rs 210.23 crore.
  • Margin at 29.85 percent versus 35.54 percent.

Vinati Organics Q3FY18 (YoY)

  • Revenues up 12.9 percent at Rs 185.65 crore.
  • Net profit down 9.4 percent at Rs 31.73 crore.
  • Ebitda down 9.5 percent at Rs 49.84 crore.
  • Margin at 26.8 percent versus 33.5 percent.

Seshasayee Paper and Boards Q3FY18 (YoY)

  • Revenue up 1.3 percent at Rs 294.8 crore.
  • Net profit down 10.3 percent at Rs 30.92 crore.
  • Ebitda down 18.7 percent at Rs 47.8 crore.
  • Margin at 16.2 percent versus 20.2 percent.
  • This quarter includes exceptional gain of Rs 4.8 crore.

Stocks To Watch

  • GAIL places order of Rs 440 crore for 350 kilometers Vijaipur(UP) – Auraiya(MP) spurline and Rs 3,500 crore capex for City Gas Distribution in financial year 2019.
  • Tata Steel completes completion of 74 percent stake in Bhubaneshwar Power for Rs 255 crore.
  • GMR Infra to acquire 4.15 crore shares (11 percent) in GMR Hyderabad International Airport for $76 million (approx. Rs 484 crore).
  • Cera sanitaryware to further explore the proposal to hike stake in Dubai arm.
  • Avenue Supermarts completes acquisition of 4.35 crore in Avenue E-Commerce for Rs 49.2 crore.
  • Info Edge clarifies that Alipay Singapore has acquired 32,629 shares in Zomato.
  • Mangalam Organics to buyback 6.10 lakh shares (6.74 percent equity) at Rs 230 each.
  • Aurobindo Pharma gets U.S. FDA approval for Niacin.

Bulk Deals

Camlin Fine Sciences

  • Northern Trust Global Investments Collective Funds Trust bought 6.90 lakh shares (0.6 percent) at Rs 120.29 each

Mastek Ltd

  • AJO Emerging Markets Small-Cap Master Fund, Ltd bought 1.26 lakh shares (0.5 percent) at Rs 461.17 each

TTK Healthcare

  • The Royal Bank Of Scotland Plc As Trustee Of Jupiter India Fund bought 46,696 shares (0.6 percent) at Rs 812.4 each
  • Jupiter South Asia Investment Company Ltd sold 46,696 shares (0.6 percent) at Rs 812.4 each

Elpro International

  • The Royal Bank Of Scotland Plc As Trustee Of Jupiter India Fund bought 14.64 lakh shares (1.1 percent) at Rs 60.9 each
  • Jupiter South Asia Investment Company Ltd sold 14.64 lakh shares (1.1 percent) at Rs 60.9 each

Repco Home

  • Apax Global Alpha Limited bought 6.50 lakh shares (1 percent) at Rs 595 each
  • Nomura India Investment Fund Mother Fund sold 6.50 lakh shares (1 percent) at Rs 595 each

Yuken India

  • Indiabulls AMC bought 15,186 shares (0.5 percent) at Rs 4,296.24 each

Who’s Meeting Whom

  • Shankara Building Products to meet investors at conference organized by ICICI securities in Singapore on Feb. 5 & 6
  • Bhansali Engineering Polymers to meet several fund houses including White Oak, IDBI MF, BOI Axa MF, Param Capital, Ambit Capital etc. from Feb. 5 to 7
  • Shriram City Union Finance to meet several fund houses including Edelweiss Securities, IIFL, Kotak Securities etc from Feb. 5-26
  • Mahindra Logistics to meet several fund houses including Edelweiss AMC, HSBC, ICICI Bank etc from Feb. 5-6

Insider Trades

  • NRB Bearings promoter Trilochan Santsingh Sahney sold 51,000 shares from Jan. 22 – 31.
  • Ultratech cement promoter Trapti Trading & Investments Private Ltd. sold 55,000 shares from Jan. 29 – 31.
  • GP Petroleum promoter GP Global Energy Private Ltd. acquired 2,300 shares on Jan. 30.
  • Man Infraconstruction Promoter & Director Manan P Shah acquired 60,000 shares on Feb. 1.

Trading Tweaks

  • Mahamaya Steel Industries and SORIL Infra Resources circuit filter revised to 10 percent.

Rupee

  • Rupee ends at 64.06/$ versus 64.03/$ on Thursday.

F&O Cues

  • Nifty February futures trade at 10,755.8. discount of 4 points premium of 14 points.
  • February series-Nifty OI down 4 percent, Bank Nifty OI down 7 percent.
  • India VIX ended at 15.2, up 8 percent.
  • Max OI for February series at 11,500 call strike , OI at 65.2 lakh, OI up 7 percent.
  • Max OI for February series at 10,500 Put, OI at 59.8 lakh, OI up 1 percent.
All You Need To Know Going Into Trade On Feb. 5

F&O Ban

  • In Ban: Fortis Healthcare, HDIL, India Cement, JP Associates, Wockhardt.
  • New In Ban: HDIL, India Cement.
  • Out of Ban: Jain Irrigation.

Alert: Only intraday positions can be taken in stocks which are in F&O ban. There is a penalty in case of rollover of these intraday positions.

Put-Call Ratio

  • Nifty PCR at 1.08 versus 1.21.
  • Nifty Bank PCR at 0.70 versus 0.63.

Fund Flows

All You Need To Know Going Into Trade On Feb. 5

Brokerage Radar

Macquarie on Bajaj Auto

  • Maintained ‘Underperform’ with price target of Rs 2,900.
  • December quarter was lower than expected operating performance.
  • Domestic motorcycle market share continues to decline.
  • Exports grew strongly off a low base.
  • Three-wheelers near-term outlook is positive.
  • New models have not sustained initial momentum.
  • Expect Bajaj to grow slower than domestic motorcycle industry in the next financial year.

JPMorgan on Bajaj Auto

  • Maintained ‘Neutral’ with price target of Rs 3,250.
  • December quarter’s operating income in line with expectations.
  • Export recovery sustains; New market contribution is steadily improving.
  • Three wheeler was the best-performing segment for the business.
  • Recovery in domestic market key monitorable.

JPMorgan on Hindalco

  • Maintained ‘Overweight’ with price target of Rs 335.
  • December quarter missed estimates across operating income and net profit on account of Utkal.
  • Standalone operations do not fully capture earnings strength.
  • Prepayment of debt continues.
  • December quarter upside was limited by Coal India price increase.
  • Capital allocation key monitorable going forward.

Macquarie on Hindalco

  • Maintained ‘Outperform’ with price target of Rs 328.
  • December quarter’s standalone operating income was below estimate due to industrywide cost inflation.
  • Better placed during cost inflation.
  • Copper: Higher value addition to offset margin headwinds.
  • Aluminium – Headwinds from hedges and costs to reduce.
  • Novelis reported five-year high Operating margin
  • Hindalco remains high conviction top pick in metals coverage.

CLSA on Godrej Properties

  • Maintained ‘Buy’; cut price target to Rs 1,058 from Rs 1,078.
  • December quarter results below estimates on lower margins.
  • Cash flows were good with net debt down.
  • Pre-sales surge continues; Major scale-up in progress.
  • Project additions continue as ‘weak hands’ exit.
  • Godrej Properties remains top real estate sector pick.

Macquarie on Godrej Properties

  • Maintained ‘Neutral’; Raise price target to Rs 858 from Rs 650.
  • Business development in full swing; To remain strong focus area.
  • Liquidation of commercial inventory in BKC largely done.
  • Management expects prices to remain stable over next year.
  • Preferred picks are Prestige Estates and Phoenix Mills.

Morgan Stanley on Tata Global Beverages

  • Maintained ‘Underweight’ with price target of Rs 150.
  • December quarter was a mixed bag.
  • Strong performance in domestic business.
  • Revenue growth in international and plantation remained weak.
  • Starbucks and Nourishco now profitable at operating level.
  • See limited potential for any structural upturn in core business.