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China's Outbound Investment Plunges as Irrational Deals Curbed

China’s outbound investment fell 41% in January to October, as projects in some industries dried up.

China's Outbound Investment Plunges as Irrational Deals Curbed
Water vapor and smoke rise from a Tonghua Iron & Steel Group Co. plant in the Erdaojiang district in Tonghua, Jilin province, China. (Phoptographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- China’s non-financial outbound investment slumped to $86.3 billion in January to October, plunging 41 percent from a year earlier, as projects in some industries dried up.

There were no new real estate, sports or entertainment deals for the period, the Commerce Ministry said in a statement Thursday. Most outbound investment was in leasing and business services, manufacturing, wholesale and retail sales and information technology services.

"Irrational" outbound investment has been curbed further, the ministry said, repeating the language it has used this year as authorities push to halt capital outflows. That’s reversing an unbroken streak of acceleration since at least 2010: Outbound investment soared 44.1 percent last year to $170.1 billion, about four times the 2009 level, Mofcom data show.

China's Outbound Investment Plunges as Irrational Deals Curbed

"The combination of hardened capital controls and a crackdown on outbound M&A has dented China’s overseas investment," said Tom Orlik, chief Asia economist at Bloomberg Economics in Beijing. "A short-term downturn was necessitated by the pressing need to stabilize the yuan. Sustained for too long, falling overseas investment would be tough to square with ambitions for greater international influence through the Belt and Road program."

New rules in August for overseas investments made explicit a de facto campaign against "irrational" acquisitions of assets in industries ranging from real estate to hotels. Investments in property, hotel, film, entertainment and sports are subject to restrictions.

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Jeff Kearns in Beijing at jkearns3@bloomberg.net, Jessica Sui in Beijing at jsui3@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Malcolm Scott at mscott23@bloomberg.net, Jeffrey Black at jblack25@bloomberg.net, Enda Curran

©2017 Bloomberg L.P.

With assistance from Jeff Kearns, Jessica Sui