ADVERTISEMENT

Early Onset Of Festival Season May Hit Automakers’ October Sales 

Sales of most automakers may either decline or grow in single digits in October.



Workers construct a car on the general welding line in a manufacturing facility in India. (Photographer: Adam Ferguson/Bloomberg News)
Workers construct a car on the general welding line in a manufacturing facility in India. (Photographer: Adam Ferguson/Bloomberg News)

Sales of most automakers, barring market leader Maruti Suzuki Ltd. and Royal Enfield motorbike maker Eicher Motors Ltd., will either decline or grow in single digit in October, a BloombergQuint poll of four analysts shows.

That’s because sales had grown at a faster pace in the same month last year during the festival season. This year, the festive demand was split between two months as the nine-day Navratri, considered auspicious, fell in September.

Early Onset Of Festival Season May Hit Automakers’ October Sales 

Sales growth across-the-board is expected to be muted as a large part of festive-led inventory build-up was reflected in September, Chirag Jain, auto analyst at SBI Caps, said.

Rural demand has shown strong growth, driven by a good monsoon and an improvement in sentiment, Motilal Oswal Securities said. Here’s what the Mumbai-based brokerage expects...

Key Factors

Maruti

  • Domestic sales volumes to remain healthy, especially for the premium hatchback segment.
  • Demand for the Baleno, the Vitara Brezza and the New Dzire remains strong.

Tata Motors

  • Passenger vehicle segment expected to post double-digit growth.
  • Commercial vehicle sales may grow 4-5 percent year-on-year.

Mahindra & Mahindra

  • Tractor sales to decline due to a higher base last year.
  • Utility vehicles and auto segment sales to see a double-digit decline due to weak demand.

TVS Motors

  • Higher scooter sales will offset the weak demand for motorcycles.