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GST To Boost India’s GDP; Positive For Rating: Moody’s

GST will lead to higher GDP growth and increased tax revenues, Moody’s says.

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley at a GST Council meet. (Photograph: PTI/Kamal Singh)
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley at a GST Council meet. (Photograph: PTI/Kamal Singh)
  • Moody’s has a ‘Baa3’ rating on India with a positive outlook.
  • Implementation of the GST will be positive for India’s rating.
  • Moody’s expects improved tax compliance to be driven by incentivisation of tax credits.

Implementation of the GST will be positive for India's rating as it will lead to higher GDP growth and increased tax revenues, Moody's Investors Service said in a report.

Over the medium term, we expect that the GST will contribute to productivity gains and higher GDP growth by improving the ease of doing business, unifying the national market and enhancing India’s attractiveness as a foreign investment destination.
William Foster, Vice President, Moody’s (Sovereign Risk Group)

The GST will also support higher government revenue generation through improved tax compliance and administration.

"Both will be positive for India's credit profile, which is constrained by a relatively low revenue base," Foster said.

Moody's has a 'Baa3' rating on India with a positive outlook.

The biggest tax reform in independent India was rolled out at the stroke of the mid-night, the intervening night of June 30-July 1 by President Pranab Mukherjee and Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

The US-based agency expects improved tax compliance to be driven by incentivisation of tax credits in a GST system.

It would also usher in greater ease of compliance through usage of a common, shared I.T. infrastructure between the central government and the states; and a reduction in the overall cost of compliance from simplified tax rates, uniform across the country.

We expect the net impact of GST on government revenues to be positive.
William Foster, Vice President, Moody’s (Sovereign Risk Group)

The Goods and Services Tax (GST) will remove plethora of taxes like excise, service tax and VAT and transform India into a uniform market for seamless movement of goods and services.

In the GST regime, goods and services will be taxed in the either of 5, 12, 18 and 28 percent.

Besides certain essential items like health care services, salt, unpacked food grains has been kept at zero rated.