Swiss Economy Grew at End of 2020 on Buoyant Industry

Switzerland’s economy unexpectedly expanded at the end of last year, with foreign demand for its goods helping offset the impact of lockdown measures to control the pandemic.

Gross domestic product increased 0.3% in the fourth quarter, compared with estimates for a stagnation in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

“On the whole, the second wave of the coronavirus until the end of 2020 had much less of an impact on the economy than the first wave did last spring,” the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs said.

Swiss Economy Grew at End of 2020 on Buoyant Industry

Still, SECO Deputy Director Eric Scheidegger said the economy would likely shrink in the first quarter of this year. The government shut restaurants and leisure facilities late in 2020 to stem Covid-19 infections.

3Q4Q
Swiss GDP (SA, Q/Q)7.60.3
Private consumption12.2-1.5
Government consumption-0.12.3
Equipment investment9.41.9
Exports (excl. valuables, transit trade)9.73.0

Although officials will reopen non-essential shops on March 1, a slow vaccination drive could delay the recovery.

At the same time, the weaker franc could buttress momentum. It has fallen to the lowest against the euro since 2019 as investors dump haven assets to position themselves for a global economic rebound and higher prices.

GDP contracted by an inflation-adjusted 2.9% last year, the biggest decline since the 1970s. Output isn’t likely to return to its pre-crisis level until 2022, according to the central bank.

Swiss Economy Grew at End of 2020 on Buoyant Industry

Despite its deep dive due to the pandemic, the well-diversified Swiss economy still fared better than some of its neighbors in 2020. Government aid programs have kept a lid on unemployment and supported consumer spending.

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

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