Oil Steadies Near Two-Month High as U.S. Drilling Slows Down

Oil is off to its best start since 2001 after plunging about 40% last quarter on fears of global supply glut, weaker consumption.

22 Jan 2019, 02:02 PM IST

Oil Steadies Near Two-Month High as U.S. Drilling Slows Down

A sample of crude oil sits in a glass flask during testing. (Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Oil steadied near a two-month high in New York amid a pullback in U.S. drilling activity, while ongoing U.S.-China trade talks left an uncertain outlook for demand.

Futures rose 0.2 percent Monday after surging 3.3 percent on Friday. The number of rigs drilling for oil in the U.S. fell to the lowest since May, according to Baker Hughes data. China and America, the world’s biggest oil consumers, have made little progress in talks on intellectual property, a major sticking point as they pursue a deal to end a tariff battle, according to people familiar with the discussions.

“The price volatility seen over the latter part of last year certainly appears to have made producers hesitant to pick up drilling activity,” said Warren Patterson, senior commodities strategist at ING Bank NV.

Oil is off to its best start to a year since 2001 after plunging almost 40 percent last quarter on fears of a global supply glut and weaker consumption. To counter those worries, OPEC and its partners have started to cut production to balance the market while the International Energy Agency expects relatively strong demand this year. Still, concerns persist after China’s economy expanded at the slowest annual pace since 1990.

West Texas Intermediate crude for February was at $53.90 a barrel, up 10 cents, as of 12:59 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange, when trading halted. U.S. markets were closed for the Martin Luther King holiday, and contracts will only be settled on Tuesday.

Brent for March settlement closed 4 cents higher at $62.74 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange, after advancing $1.52 on Friday.

Even as the U.S. rig count tumbled by 21 to 852, the biggest decline since 2016, Energy Information Administration data last week showed American drillers pumped 11.9 million barrels a day. U.S. output is set to expand by 1.1 million barrels a day this year and may exceed Saudi Arabia’s maximum level within the next six months, according to the IEA.

The pullback in drilling “is not expected to significantly slow down U.S. crude production growth,” analysts at consultants JBC Energy GmbH in Vienna said in a report.

Other oil-market news:
China’s crude oil output last year fell to the lowest since 2007, with no significant recovery seen in the near-term as drillers struggle to pursue a government strategy to cut the nation’s reliance on imports by producing more at home. Hedge funds boosted net wagers on rising Brent crude prices by 9 percent in the week ended Jan. 15, mostly because they continued to unwind a short-selling spree from the end of 2018, data from the ICE Futures Europe exchange show.

Other oil-market news:

China’s crude oil output last year fell to the lowest since 2007, with no significant recovery seen in the near-term as drillers struggle to pursue a government strategy to cut the nation’s reliance on imports by producing more at home.
Hedge funds boosted net wagers on rising Brent crude prices by 9 percent in the week ended Jan. 15, mostly because they continued to unwind a short-selling spree from the end of 2018, data from the ICE Futures Europe exchange show.

--With assistance from Tsuyoshi Inajima and Robert Tuttle.

To contact the reporters on this story: Grant Smith in London at gsmith52@bloomberg.net;Robert Tuttle in Calgary at rtuttle@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: James Herron at jherron9@bloomberg.net, Carlos Caminada, Joe Richter