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Malaysian Imports Just Slumped by the Most in a Decade

Imports slid 12.5% in August from a year ago, trailing the 8% drop forecast by economists in a Bloomberg survey.

Malaysian Imports Just Slumped by the Most in a Decade
Containers filled with plastic waste are displayed to the media at Port Klang, Selangor, Malaysia. (Photographer: Samsul Said/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) --

Malaysian imports fell by the most since 2009 in August as demand for capital goods waned, suggesting the nation’s economic growth will cool in the months ahead.

Imports slid 12.5% in August from a year ago, trailing the 8% drop forecast by economists in a Bloomberg survey, according to official data released Friday. Exports shrank 0.8%, missing analysts’ estimates for a 2.7% gain.

Malaysian Imports Just Slumped by the Most in a Decade

The data could signal that the U.S.-China trade war is taking a mounting toll on Malaysia’s economy. Second-quarter growth accelerated to 4.9% from a year earlier, the quickest pace in more than a year, but economists have warned that rising global risks will weigh on exports and consumption for the rest of the year.

Key Insights

  • Imports of capital goods, a barometer of economic activity, slumped 31% in August due to lower purchases of machinery parts and mechanical appliances. Imports of consumption goods fell 12.8%
  • Agriculture exports climbed 13%, led by palm oil as China doubled its purchases of the commodity
  • Malaysia is expected to unveil an expansionary budget on Oct. 11 to counter the fallout from the trade war, with growth forecast to slow to 4.3% in 2020 from a projected 4.5% this year

--With assistance from Tomoko Sato, Manish Modi and Matt Turner.

To contact the reporter on this story: Yudith Ho in Kuala Lumpur at yho35@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Nasreen Seria at nseria@bloomberg.net, Liau Y-Sing

©2019 Bloomberg L.P.