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India’s Factory Output Posts Steepest Decline in Eight Years

India’s Factory Output Posts Steepest Decline in Eight Years

(Bloomberg) --

India’s factory output shrank to the lowest level in eight years, as a sharp fall in capital goods production underlined weak demand in Asia’s third-largest economy.

The index of industrial production fell 4.3% in September, data released by the Ministry of Statistics showed Monday. That compares with an estimate for a 2.5% contraction, and is the lowest since October 2011.

India’s Factory Output Posts Steepest Decline in Eight Years

Key Insights

  • Capital goods output dropped 20.7% from a year ago, while consumer durables fell 9.9%
  • The second straight month of decline in factory output caps yet another quarter of subdued activity, belying expectations of a quick recovery after economic growth slipped to a six-year low of 5% in the April-June period
  • Gross domestic product data for the three months to September is due Nov. 29 and will probably show a mild recovery in growth to 5.5%. Economists, however, say that may be more because of a favorable base effect

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  • Infrastructure and construction goods output fell 6.4%
  • To read the full statement, click here

--With assistance from Karthikeyan Sundaram and Atul Prakash.

To contact the reporter on this story: Anirban Nag in Mumbai at anag8@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Nasreen Seria at nseria@bloomberg.net, Jeanette Rodrigues, Karthikeyan Sundaram

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