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India Has Room to Make a One-and-Done Interest Rate Cut

The Reserve Bank of India is set to change course at its first policy review under Governor Shaktikanta Das. 

India Has Room to Make a One-and-Done Interest Rate Cut
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo is displayed on the bank’s building in Mumbai, India (Photographer: Adeel Halim/Bloomberg)
India Has Room to Make a One-and-Done Interest Rate Cut

(Bloomberg) -- The Reserve Bank of India is set to change course at its first policy review under Governor Shaktikanta Das, dropping its hawkish bias and assigning a greater weight to growth in its policy objective. Bloomberg Economics expects the RBI to cut its policy repo rate by 25 basis points and adopt a neutral stance at its Feb. 7 meeting, pulling back from what BE thinks was a hasty switch to calibrated tightening in October last year. Beyond this week’s policy review, BE expects the RBI to stick to a data-dependent path, which would likely mean a pause until end-2019.

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