How May Could Win a Brexit Deal, China's Quiet Stimulus: Eco Day

(Bloomberg) -- Welcome to Thursday, Europe. Here’s the latest news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics to help get your day started:

  • U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May won the vote of confidence in her government -- now she needs to secure a Brexit deal. Bloomberg Economics thinks she will, and before the March 29 deadline
  • China has been quietly guiding interbank borrowing costs down without actually cutting official interest rates, with the latest move a record one-day injection of cash into the market
  • Meanwhile, the outlook for the world’s second-largest economy remains in laser focus, as questions over the global outlook multiply. Here’s our preview of Monday’s GDP report
  • Singapore is the latest Asian nation to report a trade slowdown, with exports dropping the most in more than two years in December
  • The yen is likely to reach its strongest level in more than six years if Japan enters a recession, which could come as early as the fall of this year, says a former central bank official
  • The still-strong U.S. economy showed signs of slowing in recent weeks, a Federal Reserve survey showed. But Deutsche Bank says the shutdown and the trade war could be enough to tip the economy into recession
  • Global economic policy uncertainty surged to a record high at the end of 2018, this chart shows

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