Hong Kong Next Up in World’s Growing List of Stock Bear Markets

(Bloomberg) -- Hong Kong stocks staved off entering its second bear market in as many years on Thursday, as investors around the world succumb to fear that the coronavirus outbreak will derail global economic growth.

The Hang Seng Index fell as much as 4.4%, briefly taking its losses since an April peak to 20%, before ending down 3.7%. Dropping 0.8% on Friday will put the benchmark in bear territory, leaving just China and Taiwan as among the world’s 20 biggest stock markets not there. India equities are poised to end Thursday in a bear market, where on Wednesday the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished in the U.S.

Providing some support Thursday to Hong Kong stocks was record net buying of HK$12.7 billion ($1.6 billion) by mainland Chinese investors, topping the prior high set in February 2018, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Still, a bear market may just be a matter of time.

“Large funds could start getting hit with redemptions if Hong Kong stocks drop much further,” First Shanghai Securities strategist Linus Yip said by phone. “Investors are still very worried given the global market crash and the rising numbers of coronavirus cases -- rate cuts don’t really help.”

The Hang Seng briefly recovered all its protests-driven losses in January, right before China started reporting a surge in virus cases. The epidemic has since gone global, weighing on markets around the world, while stimulus measures from governments and central banks fall flat. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index closed down 3.4% Thursday, leaving it 18% from its 2019 high.

It’s been a terrible few months for Hong Kong’s economy, with the virus outbreak and subsequent quarantine requirement for those coming from China resulting in tourist levels falling to nearly zero in early February. Hong Kong’s slump in retail sales has continued into 2020, and the overall economy is expected to shrink for a second year, something it’s never done. The city was pushed into recession last year due to months of political unrest.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jeanny Yu in Hong Kong at jyu107@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Sofia Horta e Costa at shortaecosta@bloomberg.net, Kevin Kingsbury

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