ECB Steps Up Crisis Aid as Lagarde Demands Government Action
The European Central Bank stepped up its response to the coronavirus crisis by cutting funding costs for banks, but refrained from boosting its bond-buying program and renewed its call on politicians to provide more fiscal support.
Hours after data showed the worst three-month contraction in a quarter-century of statistics, President Christine Lagarde warned that the euro-area economy could shrink as much as 15% in the second quarter and 12% over the full year.
The magnitude of the shock demands “an ambitious and coordinated” fiscal response, she said in a virtual press conference on Thursday. Finance ministers should “have a joint approach and show solidarity to those most affected by the crisis.”
Her comments reflect the European Union’s struggle to come up with a unified response. So far, most government action has been at the national level.
Leaders have asked the European Commission to devise a broader proposal by May 6, though its unclear how to resolve disagreements on whether aid should take the form of grants or loans. Likewise, Germany and the Netherlands have led opposition to joint debt over fears they’ll end up with much of the bill.
The squabbling has unnerved investors, who fret that heavily indebted nations such as Italy will be tipped into a deeper crisis. The country’s credit rating was unexpectedly cut by Fitch this week.
Italian bond yields initially rose when the ECB announced that it will keep its pandemic bond-buying program unchanged at 750 billion euros ($815 billion). They then fluctuated as investors digested the central bank’s other actions, which included de facto interest-rate cuts for its loans to banks.
The lowest rate on a targeted program that gives banks incentives to lend to companies and households will fall to 50 basis points below the deposit rate, meaning they will be able to borrow for minus 1%. The cost of a new non-targeted facility will be minus 0.25%.
“For today, it’s enough,” said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING in Frankfurt. “So much has been announced in the past six weeks.”
What Bloomberg’s Economists Say...
“The European Central Bank has acted again in an effort to combat a downturn that’s looking much worse than it thought at its last policy meeting.”
-David Powell. Read his ECB REACT
Together with earlier programs, the ECB has pledged to buy more than a trillion euros of debt through the end of this year. Most economists predict policy makers will eventually bump up the emergency program, which can be targeted toward stressed economies. Lagarde signaled that’s an option.
The central bank is “fully prepared” to increase the program if needed, she said. “Depending on the length of the crisis, it might be extended further than the end of 2020.”
Lockdowns to curb the spread of the coronavirus have sent unemployment soaring across the region and burdened the economies with massive costs.
Figures earlier Thursday showed euro-area output shrank the most on record during the first quarter, a period only partially blighted by coronavirus lockdowns. Countries such as Italy, Spain and France, with limited room to spend their way out of the crisis, saw contractions of around 5%.
The EU’s response to the meltdown contrasts with other major economies where fiscal support has been stronger. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned on Wednesday, after maintaining his institution’s own emergency settings, that this is “not the time” to worry about the U.S. debt burden.
“When we compare what we’re seeing out of the Fed and U.S. policy makers more broadly, the scale in response is much different,” Michael Pyle, global chief investment strategist at BlackRock, told Bloomberg Television. “We’re going to need to see quite a bit more, looking ahead.”
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