China Market Spillovers to World Limited, Ex-PBOC Adviser Says

(Bloomberg) -- Financial problems faced by institutions like China Evergrande Group are “controllable” and spillovers from the nation’s markets to the rest of the world are limited, a former central bank adviser said.

“Overseas investors don’t need to over-worry about China,” Yu Yongding, a former adviser for the People’s Bank of China, said at the annual Caixin summit Friday. 

China’s financial system is “still stable,” based on indicators like non-performing loans, he said. “Problems of financial institutions like Evergrande are controllable.”

A clampdown on excessive leverage in the property market and a debt crisis at Evergrande have spooked investors, resulting in a sell-off in dollar bonds recently. 

“Overall, I think China’s capital markets still have limited impact on global capital markets,” Yu said. “For example, China still maintains capital controls.”

He also made the following comments at the summit:

• The biggest uncertainty for the global economy in 2022 will be the pandemic
• Global inflation will likely be transitory, instead of resulting in stagflation
• Another big uncertainty is geopolitics, and policies the Biden administration will adopt

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With assistance from Bloomberg