China Home Prices Shake Off Fresh Curbs to Resume Faster Growth

China’s home-price growth accelerated in January as low inventory stoked a fear of missing out among buyers, even as authorities widened curbs.

New home prices in 70 major cities, excluding state-subsidized housing, rose 0.28% last month from December, after climbing 0.12% in each of the previous two months, National Bureau of Statistics figures showed Tuesday. Values in the secondary market, which faces less government intervention, gained 0.37%, the fastest in 18 months.

Buyer enthusiasm has persisted in the face of stricter curbs imposed in some large cities last month, as available housing stock continued to fall. In the four biggest cities, inventory was equivalent to just eight months of sales at the end of January, the lowest since at least 2019, according to China Real Estate Information Corp. The average housing stock in 100 cities under the firm’s radar was also lower than a year prior.

China Evergrande Group, one of the nation’s largest developers, recorded a 43% jump in January sales from a year earlier, its largest monthly increase since 2018. January sales last year plunged amid the start of the pandemic.

Read more on curbs
China Mulls Expanding Watchlist for Developer ‘Three Red Lines’
Shanghai City Tightens Home Sale Regulations to Stabilize Market
Shanghai Mulls Curbs on Property Auctions to Cool Housing Market

Last month, Shanghai and Shenzhen further cracked down on housing speculation via fake divorces, and cities including Hangzhou requested additional requirements when purchasing a second residence. A new mechanism on banks’ lending to the real estate sector also took effect in January, forcing some banks breaching ceilings on their real estate exposure to pare back loans to developers and home buyers.

Guo Shuqing, chairman of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, in December called real estate “the biggest gray rhino” financial risk for China -- referring to a large yet overlooked threat.

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

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