EU Officials Are Considering Mark Carney for Top IMF Job
(Bloomberg) -- European governments are actively discussing nominating Bank of England Governor Mark Carney as the next head of the International Monetary Fund, according to a person familiar with the matter.
While a Canadian by birth, Carney holds British and Irish passports, so his selection would technically preserve the seven-decade practice of a European running the Washington-based lender. The BOE declined to comment on his behalf.
The IMF’s last 11 managing directors all came from Europe, including Christine Lagarde of France, who is set to step down after this week being picked to become president of the European Central Bank once Mario Draghi leaves on Oct 31.
European rivals to Carney could still materialize. European Union finance ministers may try to settle on a single name to nominate at a meeting scheduled for the start of next week, according to another person familiar with the matter. Carney is clearly a qualified candidate but there are others too, the person said.
French President Emmanuel Macron, who will be a key figure in the debate, favors picking someone from continental Europe although he’s open to considering Carney, a French official said. French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire told television channel BFM that he is “not a candidate.”
Emerging-market nations may also push for a representative to get the role, given the increasing weight they now play in the world economy.
The 54-year-old Carney’s resume is hard to beat though. He has governed the central banks of both the U.K. and Canada, helped set regulation for global finance, worked inside the Canadian government, earned a doctorate in economics from the University of Oxford and spent more than a decade at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Such experience matters, given the IMF leadership will pass hands at a time when the world economy is the weakest in a decade and increasingly threatened by the trade war between the U.S. and China. Just this week, Carney warned of the risks of a “widespread slowdown” that may require a major policy response.
He has run the Bank of England since 2013 and is scheduled to leave at the end of January, having twice extended his tenure to help manage the economic fallout from the U.K’s vote for Brexit. As well as setting interest rates, he chairs its financial policy committee and has overhauled how the central bank runs.
The U.K. government is already searching for a successor among 30 applicants although the process isn’t currently set to be completed for a while, and certainly not until after a new prime minister takes office this month.
From 2011 until last November, Carney chaired the Financial Stability Board, an international body tasked with strengthening the international financial system after its 2008 crisis. That saw him work at close quarters with world leaders such as German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who would have to sign off on his candidacy for the IMF.
He was the Governor of the Bank of Canada for five years and also previously worked as the Canadian government’s sherpa to the Group of Seven economies. He entered policy making after spending 13 years at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in multiple cities and in areas such as sovereign risk, emerging markets and investment banking.
Carney had signaled that he planned to return to Canada in early 2020. He has been repeatedly mentioned in the Canadian media as a possible successor to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who faces an election in October.
His possible move to the IMF instead could disappoint former U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, who hired Carney for the BOE. He is considering a bid for the IMF himself, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Other challengers could include ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure although he may suffer from Lagarde and her predecessor, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, both being French. Bulgarian Kristalina Georgieva, the chief executive of the World Bank, missed out on the presidency of the European Commission so could fit the bill as could former Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem. Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann has ruled himself out.
Emerging-market countries have made a pitch before, only to split over who to support and then lose out. Ultimately though, that’s because the U.S. backed the European candidate as part of the unspoken pact that leaves the World Bank presidency in American hands. Former U.S. Treasury official David Malpass recently took the helm of that institution as European governments assented to President Donald Trump’s nominee.
Emerging-market candidates this time around could include Mexican Agustin Carstens, the head of the Bank for International Settlements; former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan; Monetary Authority of Singapore Chairman Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam; and Credit Suisse Group AG Chief Executive Officer Tidjane Thiam, who was born in the Ivory Coast and is also a French citizen.
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