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Borscht Inflation Shows Russia’s Price Shocks Hard to Escape

Borscht Inflation Shows Russian Price Shocks Are Hard to Escape

Even food staples grown in Russia are soaring in cost, providing a glimpse of the hardship that awaits consumers after waves of sanctions over the invasion of Ukraine set off supply shocks and a steep currency devaluation.

Most of the hearty ingredients needed to make borscht, considered comfort food in Russia and much of eastern Europe, saw double-digit price increases in a single week, with onions soaring more than 18% and cabbage nearly 16%. Residents of some regions had to fork out over 40% more for some of the basic foodstuffs needed to cook a savory pot, which also features beets alongside potatoes and carrots.

Consumer prices overall rose 1.16% in the seven days ending March 25, down slightly from 1.93% a week earlier, the Federal Statistics Service said Wednesday. On an annual basis, inflation reached 15.7%, according to the Economy Ministry, compared with 14.5% as of March 18.

Borscht Inflation Shows Russia’s Price Shocks Hard to Escape

The dire economic costs of President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine are becoming clear after it spurred a multitude of sanctions and prompted foreign companies to pull out of the country. The increases in what’s known as the “borscht basket” of staples disproportionately affect worse-off Russians and can translate into even higher inflation expectations.

Retailers are running into a deficit of vegetables including cabbage and carrots, according to Kommersant, as Russia depletes stocks from last year’s domestic harvest while fresh supplies from foreign growers aren’t yet ready. The Agriculture Ministry Wednesday sought to reassure Russians that there would be no shortages of vegetables, blaming the higher prices on seasonal factors and telling Interfax on Wednesday that shipments of the new crop will stabilize the situation.

A Bloomberg survey of analysts this month showed inflation may average 20% this year, which would be the fastest in about two decades. Russia’s economy is on course to contract in two consecutive years for the first time since the collapse that followed the Soviet breakup three decades ago.

Borscht Inflation Shows Russia’s Price Shocks Hard to Escape

A wave of panic buying that took hold in Russia after its attack on Ukraine in late February initially led to a dramatic runup in the cost of durables like cars and televisions sets. But it’s the cost of basic goods that’s now coming under pressure as consumers try to stock up for the future.

Sugar prices rose 6.5% on average in the week to March 25. Matches became 3.3% more expensive and the cost of toilet paper rose 2.9%.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

With assistance from Bloomberg