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ADB Keeps Developing Asia 2018 GDP Forecast at 6%; 2019 5.8%
ADB Keeps Developing Asia 2018 GDP Forecast at 6%; 2019 5.8%
26 Sep 2018, 12:27 PM IST
(Bloomberg) -- The Asian Development Bank keeps Developing Asia’s 2018 growth forecast at 6 percent in its latest Asian Development Outlook Update.
- China growth forecast maintained at 6.6% y/y
- South Korea growth forecast cut to 2.9% y/y from 3%
- India growth forecast maintained at 7.3% y/y
- Indonesia growth forecast cut to 5.2% y/y from 5.3%
- Thailand growth forecast raised to 4.5% y/y from 4%
- Malaysia growth forecast cut to 5% y/y from 5.3%
- Philippines growth forecast cut to 6.4% y/y from 6.8%
- "The biggest risk to continued growth comes from the disruption of international production linkages caused by a further escalation of trade tensions, but Asia’s growth should remain resilient to the direct effects of the trade measures taken to date," Yasuyuki Sawada, ADB’s chief economist says
2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annual GDP Growth | Revised | Previous | Revised | Previous | 2017 |
Developing Asia | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
Central Asia | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
Armenia | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% |
Azerbaijan | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Georgia | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% |
Kazakhstan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% |
Kyrgyz Republic | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% |
Tajikistan | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% |
Turkmenistan | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
Uzbekistan | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
East Asia | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
China | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
Hong Kong, China | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% |
South Korea | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
Mongolia | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% |
Taipei, China | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
South Asia | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
Afghanistan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
Bangladesh | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% |
Bhutan | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
India | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
Maldives | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
Nepal | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% |
Pakistan | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
Sri Lanka | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
Southeast Asia | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
Brunei Darussalam | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
Cambodia | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
Indonesia | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
Laos | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
Malaysia | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
Myanmar | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
Philippines | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
Singapore | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
Thailand | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
Vietnam | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
The Pacific | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% |
Cook Islands | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
Fiji | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% |
Kiribati | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
Marshall Islands | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% |
Micronesia | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Nauru | 0.5% | 0.5% | -3.0% | -4.0% | 4.0% |
Palau | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | -3.7% |
Papua New Guinea | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% |
Samoa | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.5% |
Solomon Islands | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% |
Timor-Leste | 4.5% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 3.0% | -5.3% |
Tonga | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 2.8% |
Tuvalu | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% |
Vanuatu | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% |
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2018 Update
©2018 Bloomberg L.P.
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