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China's Upside-Down Money Market Tests the PBOC's Role

It’s now cheaper for Chinese financial institutions to borrow from their peers than to seek funds from the central bank.

China's Upside-Down Money Market Tests the PBOC's Role
An employee counts Chinese one-hundred yuan banknotes in an arranged photograph at the Bank of China Hong Kong Ltd. headquarters in Hong Kong, China. (Photographer: Xaume Olleros/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- It’s now cheaper for Chinese financial institutions to borrow from their peers than to seek funds from the central bank -- a situation not seen in nearly three years.

Amid ample central bank liquidity, funding costs in the money market have fallen below the interest rate of seven-day reverse repurchase agreements offered by the People’s Bank of China as eases policy in a bid to shore up the economy. The inversion is the first since September 2015, when the central bank injected large amount of liquidity to stamp out risks rising from a stock market riot.

China's Upside-Down Money Market Tests the PBOC's Role

While the extra funding could help ease credit stress in the real economy, it poses a challenge to the PBOC’s efforts to transform the seven-day reverse repo rate into a policy rate -- the floor of funding costs in the entire financial system -- as it tries to build a price-based monetary policy framework.

"The PBOC is likely to keep the money market rates low, hoping that a low risk-free money market rate will lead to a decline in corporate bond yields" said Nie Wen, economist at Huabao Trust Co. in Shanghai. "That will help pump money into the real economy and prevent systemic risk in the second half."

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Yinan Zhao in Beijing at yzhao300@bloomberg.net;Emma Dai in Hong Kong at edai8@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jeffrey Black at jblack25@bloomberg.net, Kana Nishizawa

©2018 Bloomberg L.P.

With assistance from Editorial Board