(Bloomberg) -- Good morning Americas. Here’s news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics to help get your week started:
- Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has made no secret of his uneasiness with “unobserved variables” and his preference for hard data. Still, one of his most senior colleagues may have a rule to help solve the Fed’s uncertainty problem
- The trade war winner will be the one who loses least, and global automakers operating in China are feeling whiplash amid the trade spats; meanwhile, South Korean exports dipped and another sentiment indicator turned down in China on the tensions
- Meanwhile, euro-area manufacturing growth is continuing to lose speed and companies are getting more worried about the damage a trade war could do to business.
- U.K. manufacturing growth held steady in June, providing some modestly good news at the end of the worst quarter for the sector since the end of 2016
- Staying in the U.K., the most puzzling economic problem facing Britain is back in the limelight. Abysmal productivity growth has plagued the U.K. for a decade, and now the debate is raging again after a proposal that fixing it be made one of the Bank of England’s core tasks
- Bank Indonesia’s latest surprise move shows how much it’s prioritizing currency stability over economic growth
- Risks are mounting in Australia, where the central bank has been holding close to a long pause in interest rates; meanwhile, Sweden has a different basket of problems with tightening plans
©2018 Bloomberg L.P.