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Bank Recap A Risk To NBFCs With Low  Funding Exposure, Says Credit Suisse

Here’s Credit Suisse’s take on NBFCs in India after bank recapitalisation. 

(Bloomberg)
(Bloomberg)

An expected rate cut by public sector banks after the government’s recapitalisation is likely to pose a threat to non-banking finance companies, especially those which have less funding exposure to these lenders, according to a Credit Suisse report.

The lenders would target growth and become aggressive with rates, mainly in the home loans segment, as the salaried employee segment has been strong for state-run banks, it added.

While funding costs may come down for NBFCs with a high share of bank funding, those with heavy bond funding may suffer a squeeze.  
Credit Suisse Report

Here's what Credit Suisse says about NBFCs:

  • Expecting an impact on NBFCs with lower bank funds, it downgraded LIC Housing Finance Ltd. to 'Neutral' with a target price of Rs 600. It is currently trading at Rs 612.2 apiece.
  • Likely beneficiaries Shriram Transport Finance Ltd., Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services Ltd. and Shriram City Union Finance Ltd. have been rated as 'Outperform'.
  • Target price set for these companies are: Shriram Transport- Rs 1,600 apiece, M&M Financial Services- Rs 480 apiece and Shriram City Union Finance- Rs 3,125. Stocks of these companies are currently trading at Rs 1,294.2 apiece, Rs 434.4 apiece and Rs 2,258.5 apiece respectively.
  • State-run banks focus on the salaried home loan borrowers, but there is scope for growth in lending to non-salaried category.
  • Credit Suisse initiated coverage on PNB Housing Finance Ltd. with an 'Outperform' rating with a target price of Rs 1,780. The stock is trading at Rs 1,441.2 apiece.
  • Credit Suisse also retains their ‘Outperform’ rating on Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd.
  • On the back of recent improvements in L&T Finance Holdings Ltd., Credit Suisse initiated coverage with 'Neutral' rating with a target price of Rs 210, trading at Rs 199.5 apiece today.