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Germany’s Next Leader May Not Have the Write Stuff

Germany’s Next Leader May Not Have the Write Stuff

Say what you will about how underwhelming the current German election campaign is — aren’t they all, at least by U.S. or U.K. standards? — one aspect of it is rather exciting, and telling: The two front-running parties’ candidates for the chancellorship have been accused, with seemingly compelling cause, of plagiarism. In the run-up to the September 26 election, these accusations are noticeably depressing the top parties’ performance and reinforcing the impression that their candidates don’t have what it takes to lead the country — at least not in comparison with Angela Merkel, whose integrity and intellectual power are recognized even by her enemies.

In June, Green Party candidate Annalena Baerbock’s book “Now: How We Can Renew Our Country” came under fire. An Austria-based website cited passages in it that appeared lifted from various sources without a proper reference. Baerbock mounted a maladroit defense, enriching the German political discourse with some extravagant excuses, such as “I didn’t write a textbook but rather a book about what I want to do with this country” and even “Nobody writes a book alone” — a statement that caused an angry backlash from German authors. More allegedly copied passages have kept surfacing. 

In late July, Armin Laschet, the leader of Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union party, developed a plagiarism problem of his own, when parts of his 2009 book, “The Upwardly Mobile Republic: Immigration as an Opportunity,” were found to be unacknowledged quotes from, among other sources, Wikipedia. Laschet didn’t try to counterattack and apologized immediately, but that didn’t stop discussion of the borrowings in the German media.

Of course, both Baerbock and Laschet have made other mistakes: The former was dinged for airbrushing her resume, the latter was filmed laughing with his associates during a visit to a flood-ravaged region. But polling averages show how the Greens’ popularity reached the year’s nadir after Baerbock’s book scandal and started recovering only after Laschet ran into similar trouble.

Germany’s Next Leader May Not Have the Write Stuff

The center-left SPD was the main beneficiary. Its chancellorship candidate, Finance Minister Olaf Scholz, the only one of the top three not to face plagiarism charges, is now the most popular of the top three with 27% support, compared with 14% for Laschet and 13% for Baerbock.

No matter who ends up winning next month, the plagiarism accusations are something for which the campaign will be remembered.

Neither scandal involves an academic work, but the tradition of looking for plagiarism in politicians’ writing stems from a 2011 case that ended the career of Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg, then defense minister and the Christian Social Union’s rising star. After plagiarism in his law dissertation was confirmed, he lost his doctorate and was forced to leave politics. The collective of volunteer researchers that dug into Guttenberg’s work, GuttenPlag, evolved into Germany’s preeminent plagiarism-hunting community, VroniPlag, which doesn’t concern itself just with politicians’ doctoral theses but also with the work of career academics. VroniPlag founder Martin Heidingsfelder, a prominent German expert in the field, has contributed to both the Baerbock and the Laschet revelations.

Germany is a country where a doctorate is more than an academic distinction; it’s a status symbol with potent power. People who have earned one are addressed as Herr Doktor or Frau Doktor rather than merely Herr or Frau, regardless of the scientific discipline in which the doctorate is conferred.  Germany is one of the few countries (Austria and the Czech Republic are two others) that actually put the Dr. on a person’s passport. Whenever a bureaucratic process slows down in Berlin for a translator friend of mine, her husband, a mathematician, signs an official missive with his Dr. Prof. titles, and things tend to run smoothly again.

In part because of the tangible benefits of a doctorate, Germany produces more Ph.D.’s per capita than most other developed nations, and the leader on this metric is a culturally close nation, Switzerland.

Germany’s Next Leader May Not Have the Write Stuff

This respect for advanced degrees goes back to a time when they put a person on an equal footing with the nobility. A Dr. before a name meant almost as much as an aristocratic “von” or “zu.” In the 19th century, the demand for this social boost was so high that the less prestigious universities started conferring degrees in absentia as a way to make money. In 1841, Karl Marx obtained a doctoral degree from the Jena University, which he had never visited, under an agreement of which only parts have survived. These practices have been abolished, and all theses in Germany must now be published, which facilitates searches by plagiarism hunters for unacknowledged quotations; the future doctor must declare that the work is entirely his or her own, and explicitly disclose the origin of all the material used. That hasn’t stopped Germans, however, whether famous and not, from cheating to obtain this coveted credential.

Since the landmark Guttenberg case, the list of German politicians accused of plagiarism has included former Education Minister and Merkel ally Annette Schavan, who lost her degree and resigned in 2013, and former CSU Secretary General Andreas Scheuer, who stopped using the Dr. title amid a controversy over unattributed borrowings in his thesis. Former Family Minister Franziska Giffey, an SPD member, whose degree was withdrawn by Berlin’s Free University in June, resigned before the university made it final, although she is now her party’s candidate for Berlin’s mayor. Accusations have been made against President Frank-Walter Steinmeier and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, but they and the universities that conferred their doctorates have managed to prove any errors had been unintentional.

The close attention paid in Germany to politicians’ plagiarism isn’t just about the value of the doctorate, as this year’s campaign shows. Even unacknowledged borrowings in political books — which in most countries would be seen, a priori, as slapped-together products of much teamwork — can result in poll setbacks. They don’t just point to a character flaw; they also show a politician is superficial, unwilling to delve into the issues. In German politics, that’s a major sin. Keep in mind that for the last 16 years, the country has been run by a bona fide scientist who has listened to experts and become an expert herself in the issues she has faced. Germany’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic reflects that strength: After a few initial fumbles, Germany has generally handled it well, with a much lower per capita death rate than the U.K., the U.S. and most European nations.

Many in Germany bemoan the current campaign’s focus on the candidates rather than the agendas. But, with Merkel about to go, it’s important to make sure the next chancellor will be as thorough and intellectually honest as she has been; that should be seen as an issue in its own right, and it’s why the competence of the uncharismatic Scholz has made him the most popular chancellor candidate. 

Chancellors, of course, are not directly elected but picked by parliament, usually from the party with a plurality of seats, and the likelihood of Scholz’s getting the job is low because of his party’s relative unpopularity. Yet the frontrunner, Laschet, and his strongest rival, Baerbock, are being reminded that Germans want integrity, brains and a certain depth in their next leader. Sadly, the plagiarism scandals suggest that so far, these most likely candidates haven’t demonstrated that they have the write stuff. 

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

Leonid Bershidsky is a member of the Bloomberg News Automation team based in Berlin. He was previously Bloomberg Opinion's Europe columnist. He recently authored a Russian translation of George Orwell's "1984."

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