Moody’s Cuts India’s GDP Growth Forecast To 5.6% For 2019
A vendor holds garlands at the Mullick Ghat flower market in Kolkata, India. (Photographer: Prashanth Vishwanathan/Bloomberg)

Moody’s Cuts India’s GDP Growth Forecast To 5.6% For 2019


Moody's Investors Service cut India's economic growth forecast for the current year to 5.6 percent from 5.8 percent estimated earlier, saying GDP slowdown is lasting longer than previously expected.

"We have revised down our growth forecast for India. We now forecast slower real GDP growth of 5.6 percent in 2019, from 7.4 percent in 2018," it said.

Moody’s expected economic activity to pick up in 2020 and 2021 to 6.6 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively, but the pace to remain lower than in the recent past. "India's economic growth has decelerated since mid-2018, with real GDP growth slipping from nearly 8 percent to 5 percent in the second quarter of 2019 and joblessness rising.”

Investment activity was muted well before that, but the economy was buoyed by strong consumption demand. What is troubling about the current slowdown is that consumption demand has cooled notably.
Moody’s Investors Service

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