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Covid Vaccine Won’t End Pandemic till Late 2021, Lazard Poll Says

A survey of health-care industry leaders suggests the coronavirus pandemic will continue into the second half of 2021.

Covid Vaccine Won’t End Pandemic till Late 2021, Lazard Poll Says
Lab technicians handle vials in a laboratory at the Newtech Medical Devices facility in Haryana, India. (Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg)

Nearly two-thirds of health-care industry leaders anticipate the coronavirus pandemic will continue into the second half of 2021 or longer as hopes for a vaccine this year dwindle.

The availability of an effective vaccine is the top concern for 71% of the respondents, according to a Lazard survey of 221 executives and investors across the health-care industry that was published Thursday. The most important factor in bringing about a post-pandemic “new normal” is an effective and widely available vaccine, according to 61% of respondents.

Almost three-quarters said a vaccine won’t be widely available before the second half of 2021.

Health-care leaders “are sober about the length of time it will likely take to develop widely available effective vaccines to bring the Covid-19 pandemic under control, and they expect this will not happen until well into 2021, if not later,” David Gluckman, global head of Lazard’s Healthcare Group, said in a statement accompanying the report.

After the pandemic is curbed, 58% said they expect work to be flexible or a hybrid of home and in-office time. Public-health measures like facemasks and temperature checks will become routine, according to 32%, and 24% see an increase in nationalism and domestic protectionism, the study found.

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.