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UltraTech Cement Q1 Results: Brokerages Raise Price Targets; Stock Extends Winning Streak

Here's what brokerages have to say about UltraTech Cement's Q1 FY22 results...

<div class="paragraphs"><p> A pile of cement lies on a builders’ slab. (Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg)</p></div>
A pile of cement lies on a builders’ slab. (Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg)

Most brokerages raised their price targets for UltraTech Cement Ltd. after the first quarter, on account of a recovery in demand, stable pricing and lower-than-expected costs, among others.

That’s despite a sequential drop in net profit and revenue of the cement maker in the three months ended June.

  • Ebitda per tonne rose 19% quarter-on-quarter to Rs 1,420.

  • Net realisations declined 23% sequentially to Rs 4,992 a tonne.

  • Volumes were down 23% over the preceding three months to Rs 13.8 million tonnes; but were up 46% year-on-year.

Shares of UltraTech Cement rose as much as 2.4% before paring gains, compared with a 0.18% gain in the benchmark Nifty 50. The stock has now gained for three days on the trot.

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Here are the key takeaways from the brokerage reports:

Jefferies

  • Retains ‘hold’; raises target price to Rs 7,200 from Rs 6,500 apiece.

  • UltraTech reported a record high unit Ebitda at Rs 1,550 a tonne, a key positive in Q1 FY22.

  • Earnings surprise was due to higher unit realisation as well as lower costs.

  • Management commentary has also been positive on demand recovery, stable pricing.

  • Management focus remains on growth with 19.5-million-tonnes projects underway.

  • Balance sheet is set to turn net cash in less than two years.

  • Upgrades EPS forecast by 13-15%.

CLSA

  • Maintains ‘outperform’ rating, with a target price of Rs 7,459 apiece.

  • Q1 Ebitda was 15% above estimates, but cost inflation to impact earnings.

  • Cost pressure likely to weigh on profitability.

  • Capacity additions on track and deleveraging progressing as well.

  • Well placed for the demand upcycle but risk-reward fair.

Goldman Sachs

  • Maintains ‘buy’ (conviction list), hikes target price to Rs 8,550 from Rs 7,700 apiece.

  • Strong demand recovery in June across end-markets drove realisation higher.

  • Continues to execute on costs, and absorb commodity inflation through price increases.

  • UltraTech’s volume outperformance is likely to continue.

HSBC Global Research

  • Maintain ‘buy’; hikes target price to Rs 8,200 from Rs 8,000 apiece.

  • Highest ever Ebitda/tonne; strong read through for the industry.

  • Both demand and pricing remain stronger than expected.

  • Capacity expansion, product mix improvement and debt reduction to strengthen positioning.

Investec Securities

  • UltraTech’s Q1 recorded an operational beat aided by price growth and cost gains.

  • Execution is in line with indicated focus areas — growth, deleveraging, improving return ratios and ESG.

  • Management is committed to construction chemicals/waterproofing and white cement/putty operations.

  • Incremental disclosures in allied forays, incentives on expansion key surprise variables.