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Online Grocery Segment Likely To Touch $3 Billion By Year-End

Covid-19 induced tailwinds, Online grocery to increase $3 billion by 2020 year-end.

A customer has a QR code scanned from a smart phone at a grocery store in Bangkok, Thailand. (Photographer: Amanda Mustard/Bloomberg)
A customer has a QR code scanned from a smart phone at a grocery store in Bangkok, Thailand. (Photographer: Amanda Mustard/Bloomberg)

Covid-19 induced tailwinds, coupled with participation from large conglomerates like Reliance are expected to drive growth in the online grocery segment in India, expanding the market to $3 billion by year-end, according to a report.

With supply ramping up in time to match the surging demand, eGrocery will grow very fast to be $18.2 billion by 2024 from $1.9 billion in 2019 - growing at a CAGR of 57%, the report by consulting firm RedSeer and online grocery player BigBasket said.

"During Covid-19, consumers have shown an increased propensity to order online. A lot of this behaviour is likely to stick entry of large players like Jio will drive adoption among tier II + cities. Renewed interest from large horizontals like Flipkart/Amazon, among other online players will further boost penetration," the report said.

It added that while the growth in eGrocery in the lockdown has been impressive, the segment is expected to see about 2.6X growth in gross merchandise value run-rate by the end of the year.

"For all of 2020, the GMV will be over 70% higher than 2019, which would indicate a fundamental shift in how eGrocery is perceived as a business. With traditional players increasingly leveraging the local ecosystem in their offerings, that could be the preferred way for players to scale beyond the top cities," it said.

This, and more such innovation and partnerships, will be the way forward for Indian eGrocery, the report added.

It said while there were some challenges in the initial days of lockdown, the eGocery category grew 73% during that period.

Fresh vegetables and fruits saw 144% growth, while FMCG products grew 150%.

"We expect the growth of online to be steady for the rest of the year to reach $3 billion plus," it added.