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Crude Oil Erases Declines After Bullish API Inventory Report

Oil Extends Gains as New Saudi Minister Expects Cuts to Continue

Crude Oil Erases Declines After Bullish API Inventory Report
An oil pumping jack, also known as a ‘nodding donkey,’ operates in an oil field (Photographer: Vincent Mundy/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Oil erased earlier losses after the release of bullish U.S. inventory data that showed a larger-than-expected drop in crude stockpiles.

The industry-funded American Petroleum Institute reported that crude stockpiles fell 7.23 million barrels, while gasoline supplies declined 4.5 million barrels last week. If confirmed by the government, this would be the fourth weekly crude draw. The gasoline contraction would be largest since April. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg estimate an almost 3 million barrel contraction in U.S. crude stocks.

Prices fell earlier after U.S. President Donald Trump said that he had fired National Security Advisor John Bolton, one of his most hawkish aides. Bolton’s departure calmed concerns about any White House inclinations to use military might as a diplomatic tool amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Asia.

Crude Oil Erases Declines After Bullish API Inventory Report

In the hours preceding Trump’s announcement, crude advanced as much as 1.6% after an OPEC leader said the cartel’s demand estimates were “very conservative” and recession prospects were low. Some support also came from an announcement that Saudi Aramco had announced key banks for top roles in its planned initial public offering which has been pegged to higher oil prices.

Crude is about 13% below its late-April peak as the protracted U.S.-China trade war saps the outlook for global energy demand. Later this week, traders will be closely watching a key OPEC committee meeting in Abu Dhabi for signs of shifts on supply policy. Also, investors are now looking forward to the government’s Energy Information Administration inventory report Wednesday.

Separately, the U.S. lowered its global demand forecast for this year and reduced its forecast for doemstic production, according to the EIA’s monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook.

West Texas Intermediate oil for October delivery rose 2 cents to $57.87 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 5:15pm after settling at $57.40.

Brent for November settlement rose 20 cents to $62.79 on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange after settling at $62.38. The global benchmark oil traded at a $5.02 premium to WTI for the same month.

Other oil-market news:
  • Gasoline futures rose over 1% to $1.6037 a gallon
  • The U.S.-China trade war has already cut oil demand almost in half and things are only going to get worse, according to Citigroup Inc.
  • There are no proposals for OPEC+ to deepen oil output cuts, India’s Oil Minister Dharmendra Pradhan said in a tweet, citing OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo.

To contact the reporter on this story: Sheela Tobben in New York at vtobben@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: David Marino at dmarino4@bloomberg.net, Mike Jeffers, Joe Carroll

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