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India Services PMI Slips To Three-Month Low In December

India services PMI eased to 55.5 but remained in expansion zone.

A waiter wearing a protective face mask and latex gloves sanitizes a tables at the Punjab Grill restaurant in New Delhi, India, on Monday, June 8, 2020. (Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg)
A waiter wearing a protective face mask and latex gloves sanitizes a tables at the Punjab Grill restaurant in New Delhi, India, on Monday, June 8, 2020. (Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg)

India's services sector purchasing managers index dipped to three-month low, but remained in expansion zone and strong by historical standards.

The index, compiled by IHS Markit, was at 55.5 in December compared with 58.1 in November. December was the fifth successive month of expansion for the sector.

"Indian services companies continued to report growth of sales and business activity in December. Rates of expansion moderated, but were nevertheless marked by historical standards," said IHS Markit in the accompanying release. The latest increase in new orders was centred on the domestic market as new business from abroad fell further due to Covid-related restrictions.

Owing to the buoyant performances seen in October and November, the average growth rate for output over the third quarter of fiscal year 2021-22 was the strongest since the three months to March 2011.
Pollyanna De Lima, Economics Associate Director, IHS Markit

Services sector firms shed jobs in December but the rate of contraction was small, said IHS Markit. The vast majority of surveyed companies (96%) left payroll numbers unchanged from November. "Firms generally suggested that employment levels were sufficient to cope with current workloads."

Companies surveyed reported a further increase in expenses during December. Higher prices were seen across categories like chemicals, food, fuel, medical equipment, office products, tools and transportation. "Although sharp and above its long-run average, the overall rate of inflation softened to a three-month low," the release said. Output prices across the services sector increased but the rate of change of inflation was moderate, below trend and the weakest since September, it added.

Overall, confidence levels remained high and was at a four-month high.

Services firms were generally confident that output would increase in 2022, but fears of new Covid-19 waves and price pressures somewhat hindered optimism.
Pollyanna De Lima, Economics Associate Director, IHS Markit