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India IIP Data: Industrial Production Grows More Than Estimated At 2% 

India’s industrial production returned to growth after having contracted in December.

A worker grinds a tri-bolt lock component at a Palam Locks & Hardware factory in the Tala Nagri Industrial Area of Aligarh, Uttar Pradesh, India (Photographer: Udit Kulshrestha/Bloomberg)  
A worker grinds a tri-bolt lock component at a Palam Locks & Hardware factory in the Tala Nagri Industrial Area of Aligarh, Uttar Pradesh, India (Photographer: Udit Kulshrestha/Bloomberg)  

India’s industrial production rebounded after a month of contraction even as the economy faces fresh headwinds from the coronavirus outbreak.

The Index of Industrial Production rose 2 percent in January over a year earlier, according to data from the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation. Thirty-five economists polled by Bloomberg had forecast January IIP growth at 0.5 percent. Factory output growth for December was revised to 0.7 percent from a contraction of 0.3 percent earlier.

Fluctuations in industrial activity continue to throw up mixed signals of a fragile economic recovery from the worst slump in a decade. And fresh concerns have emerged from the spread of the novel coronavirus that has disrupted supply chains and hurt demand globally.

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Sectoral Estimates

Of the 23 industry groups in the manufacturing sector, 11 saw a rise in output in January. Both mining activity and electricity generation also grew.

  • Manufacturing output growth stood at 1.5 percent in January compared with a contraction of 1.2 percent in December.
  • Mining output grew 4.4 percent compared with 5.4 percent in the previous month.
  • Electricity generation rose 3.1 percent after a contraction of 0.1 percent in December.

Industrial output as classified by the end-use of goods indicated another contraction in capital goods and infrastructure and construction goods.

  • Primary goods output growth was at 1.8 percent in January compared with 2.2 percent in December.
  • Capital goods output fell 4.3 percent after declined 18.2 percent in the previous month.
  • Intermediate goods output grew 15.8 percent after rising 12.4 percent earlier.
  • Infrastructure and construction goods output fell 2.2 percent after contracting 1.8 percent.
  • Growth in consumer durables output fell 4 percent compared with a contraction of 6.7 percent.
  • Growth in consumer non-durables output fell 0.1 percent compared with a contraction of 3.7 percent in December.