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Spot Gold Snaps Nine-Day Rally That Saw Metal Rise to a Record

Gold has soared 29% this year, supported by a confluence of factors from a weakening dollar to negative real yields.

Spot Gold Snaps Nine-Day Rally That Saw Metal Rise to a Record
An employee holds a stack of 1 kilogram gold bars in the precious metals vault at Pro Aurum KG in Munich, Germany. (Photographer: Andreas Gebert/Bloomberg)

Gold retreated after a nine-day rally that included a record high as positive results from a vaccine study curbed demand for the metal as a haven, spurring investors to cash in recent gains.

Spot prices headed for the biggest decline in almost two months after news that an experimental coronavirus vaccine protected a group of macaque monkeys in an early study. The metal was also pressured as stocks pared losses, with gains in big technology companies ahead of earnings tempering concern over a slow economic rebound.

Whilst we believe there is further upside to the market, there are a number of risks which could stand in the way of this,” Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING Groep NV, said in an emailed note. “A swift rolling out of a Covid-19 vaccine, which sees economies around the world reopening at a quicker pace, and returning to a form of normality, would likely provide a boost to risk assets, and as a result, weigh on havens, such as gold.”

Spot Gold Snaps Nine-Day Rally That Saw Metal Rise to a Record

Spot gold fell 0.9% to $1,952.97 an ounce at 3:08 p.m. in New York. A close at that price would mark the biggest drop since June 5. The metal rose to an all-time high of $1,981.27 earlier in the week. Gold futures for December delivery fell 0.5% to settle at $1,966.80 an ounce on the Comex. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slipped after early gains.

Spot bullion has soared about 29% this year, supported by a confluence of factors from haven demand and a weakening dollar to negative real yields and a flood of monetary and fiscal stimulus. Another round of talks between the Trump administration and congressional Democrats Wednesday brought them no closer to a compromise on a virus-relief plan, as enhanced unemployment insurance for millions of out-of-work Americans runs out.

Even with the likelihood of higher price volatility in the near term, investment demand should hold up over a longer time period, the World Gold Council said Thursday.

“Gold is now in a consolidation phase,” Carlo Alberto De Casa, chief analyst at ActivTrades, said in an emailed note. “But the quick rebound when the price collapsed to $1,900 two days ago confirms that investors’ appetite for bullion is still significant and the main trend remains bullish, despite some traders taking profit after the massive rally of the last few weeks.”

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